Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Meta Platforms Inc.’s Q1 shows strong headway with an increase in both product momentum and business performance reaching an estimated 3.2 billion active users per day, showcasing healthy growth particularly in the US market.</li><li>The performance of the associated messaging app, WhatsApp, has been highlighted, reporting a steady increase in daily active users and message sends in the US. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Meta Platforms Inc.’s Q1 shows strong headway with an increase in both product momentum and business performance reaching an estimated 3.2 billion active users per day, showcasing healthy growth particularly in the US market.The performance of the associated messaging app, WhatsApp, has been highlighted, reporting a steady increase in daily active users and message sends in the US. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Meta Platforms: How Will The Adoption of AI Tools and Strategic Bets Change The Game? - Major Drivers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Meta reported 1Q24 results: total revenue grew by 27% YoY to US$36.5bn, in line with consensus estimate of US$36.2bn; net income was up 117% YoY to US$12.4bn, also in line with consensus estimate (US$12.2bn).</li><li>For 2Q24, management guides total revenue to increase by 14-22% YoY to US$36.5- 39.0bn (vs. consensus estimate of US$38.3bn), with growth rate normalizing as the base effect wanes.</li><li>Looking ahead, Meta expects to start a multi-year investment cycle to build full-scale AI capabilities and enhance monetization. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Meta reported 1Q24 results: total revenue grew by 27% YoY to US$36.5bn, in line with consensus estimate of US$36.2bn; net income was up 117% YoY to US$12.4bn, also in line with consensus estimate (US$12.2bn).For 2Q24, management guides total revenue to increase by 14-22% YoY to US$36.5- 39.0bn (vs. consensus estimate of US$38.3bn), with growth rate normalizing as the base effect wanes.Looking ahead, Meta expects to start a multi-year investment cycle to build full-scale AI capabilities and enhance monetization. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meta (META US) - Launch of the AI investment cycle

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now.</li><li>While Meta was -20% at one point AH today, it does seem a bit overdone.</li><li>Of all the post-earnings drop that I have experienced following Meta since 2018, this one probably made me nervous the least.</li></ul>

If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now.While Meta was -20% at one point AH today, it does seem a bit overdone.Of all the post-earnings drop that I have experienced following Meta since 2018, this one probably made me nervous the least.

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>TikTok's business model advantage: short form video creates greater signal for algorithmic addiction is forcing rivals to react (where possible).</li>
<li>META is best positioned to copy TikTok, and is trading at a valuation approximating cable networks during cord cutting.</li>
<li>Netflix is worst positioned... as YouTube, Instagram, and Snap incorporate TikTok's short form video, more attention will be drawn away from the streaming services. Tough spot to be in.</li>
</ul>


TikTok's business model advantage: short form video creates greater signal for algorithmic addiction is forcing rivals to react (where possible).
META is best positioned to copy TikTok, and is trading at a valuation approximating cable networks during cord cutting.
Netflix is worst positioned... as YouTube, Instagram, and Snap incorporate TikTok's short form video, more attention will be drawn away from the streaming services. Tough spot to be in.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.</li>
<li>This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.</li>
<li>We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass</li>
</ul>


Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.
This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.
We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass


Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

Meta Platforms: How Will The Adoption of AI Tools and Strategic Bets Change The Game? - Major Drivers

Meta Platforms Inc.’s Q1 shows strong headway with an increase in both product momentum and business performance reaching an estimated 3.2 billion...

Baptista Research

Meta (META US) - Launch of the AI investment cycle

Looking ahead, Meta expects to start a multi-year investment cycle to build full-scale AI capabilities and enhance monetization.

CMB International

Meta 1Q'24 Update

If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now. While Meta was -20% at one...

MBI Deep Dives

TMT Pre-2Q Earnings: The TikTok Impact

TikTok is wreaking havoc on the advertising and streaming ecosystems by stealing attention. META is best positioned to respond, NFLX is least well...

Aaron Gabin

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF as discussed 5/29/24; Downgrading Materials $XLB to Underweight; Buy/Stay Long Software Stocks $IGV $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

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