TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

I have over 20 years’ experience investing in the TMT and Consumer sectors, almost entirely on the buyside. Started at Bernstein covering software in 2001, moved to the buyside at Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) in 2003, covering hardware, software, and media. 

After getting an MBA at NYU in 2008 and a CFA, I spent 8 years at Coburn Ventures (a market neutral TMT/Consumer hedge fund). In 2015, I joined Deimos Asset Management, a low net multi-strat, where I managed a  TMT/Consumer portfolio.

I've spent the past few years at Obex Capital Management providing independent investment research to TMT and Consumer investors.

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

Amazon 4Q21: Don’t Call It a Comeback, We’ve Been Here (Investing) For Years

Amazon 1Q22: (Some) Cost Inflation Is Transitory, The Moat Is Not

Amazon 2Q22: Delivering an Inflection Point

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AWS revenue grew 20% YoY to $21.3B, about $400M or ~2% below consensus…and a 700bp deceleration.</li>
<li>AWS margins of 24% were down 200bps QoQ / 600bps YoY as continued optimization of customer contracts continues to weigh on margins.</li>
<li>Amazon advertising continues to dramatically outpace all other online platforms, highlighting the moat of first party data at the point of purchase, unimpacted by Apple.</li>
</ul>


AWS revenue grew 20% YoY to $21.3B, about $400M or ~2% below consensus…and a 700bp deceleration.
AWS margins of 24% were down 200bps QoQ / 600bps YoY as continued optimization of customer contracts continues to weigh on margins.
Amazon advertising continues to dramatically outpace all other online platforms, highlighting the moat of first party data at the point of purchase, unimpacted by Apple.


Amazon.com Inc

Amazon 4Q22: When Does AWS Trough?