Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.</li>
<li>We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.</li>
<li>The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.
We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.
The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio, Lenovo.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio, Lenovo.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The effects of SHEIN's and Temu's growth on US retail are already well known</li>
<li>But recent data points show the companies impacting other industries, too</li>
<li>Through their dramatic growth the two companies are gaining influence in US </li>
</ul>


The effects of SHEIN's and Temu's growth on US retail are already well known
But recent data points show the companies impacting other industries, too
Through their dramatic growth the two companies are gaining influence in US 


Dramatic Growth of SHEIN & Temu Having Noticeable Impact On Segments Outside Of US Retail

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The index changes for HSTECH index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a final look at the expected index changes and our latest flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The index changes for HSTECH index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. 
In this insight, we take a final look at the expected index changes and our latest flow expectations.


Quiddity HSTECH Mar 24 Flow Expectations: US$415mn One-Way if the Low-Conviction Change Takes Place

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The index changes for HSCEI index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. </li>
<li>In this insight, I have shown how my flow expectations have changed since I published my last HSCEI insight on 6th December 2023.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
The index changes for HSCEI index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. 
In this insight, I have shown how my flow expectations have changed since I published my last HSCEI insight on 6th December 2023.


Quiddity HSCEI Mar 24 Flow Expectations: Zhongsheng (881 HK) Downtrend Could Continue

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

The announcement of the inclusions to the HSI at the March rebalance will be made post market close today. Most stocks are trading lower which is...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd and highlight short interest changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dramatic Growth of SHEIN & Temu Having Noticeable Impact On Segments Outside Of US Retail

Recent data points show SHEIN and Temu are beginning to have noticeable impacts on US industries other than retail, including domestic express...

Tracking Traffic

Quiddity HSTECH Mar 24 Flow Expectations: US$415mn One-Way if the Low-Conviction Change Takes Place

I see US$415mn one-way index flows assuming Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) gets added and GDS Holdings (9698 HK) gets deleted. However, I see these as...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity HSCEI Mar 24 Flow Expectations: Zhongsheng (881 HK) Downtrend Could Continue

I estimate one-way flow to be US$235mn which translates to a turnover of ~2%. However, these estimates are based on the low-conviction assumption...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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