External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>J&amp;T reported strong operating data in 1Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 31%.</li><li>During the analyst briefing, J&amp;T was confident that it would achieve the volume and cost reduction target this year.</li><li>That said, we reset our earnings forecast in 2025E/26E by -48%/-18%, as we are concerned that the fierce price cut launched by the leading player in China will more than offset the high volume growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

J&amp;T reported strong operating data in 1Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 31%.During the analyst briefing, J&amp;T was confident that it would achieve the volume and cost reduction target this year.That said, we reset our earnings forecast in 2025E/26E by -48%/-18%, as we are concerned that the fierce price cut launched by the leading player in China will more than offset the high volume growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Impressive Volume Growth in 1Q25

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>H224 showed moderating top-line growth, but solid Y/Y improvement in EBITDA margin</li>
<li>However, the levers that drove margin improvement in 2024 appear to be losing power</li>
<li>Within China's express and logistics segment, we find SF Holding to be far more attractive</li>
</ul>


H224 showed moderating top-line growth, but solid Y/Y improvement in EBITDA margin
However, the levers that drove margin improvement in 2024 appear to be losing power
Within China's express and logistics segment, we find SF Holding to be far more attractive


J&T Global Express H224 Results: Levers That Drove Earlier Improvement Are Losing Power

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on CCB, Sinopec, BOC, Petrochina, CNOOC, China Overseas, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on CCB, Sinopec, BOC, Petrochina, CNOOC, China Overseas, Ping An.


HSCEI Earning Revision Analysis (Apr): CCB, Sinopec, BOC, Petrochina, CNOOC, China Overseas, Ping An

<ul>
<li>Last week J&amp;T Global Express reported Q324 express parcel volume by segment</li>
<li>Volume growth in all segments slowed dramatically compared to Q224</li>
<li>Without needed context, we believe the numbers undermine J&amp;T growth story</li>
</ul>


Last week J&amp;T Global Express reported Q324 express parcel volume by segment
Volume growth in all segments slowed dramatically compared to Q224
Without needed context, we believe the numbers undermine J&amp;T growth story


Quick Take on J&T Global Express Q324: Volume Growth in All Segments Slowed Dramatically

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> listed in October 2023 and was added to one global index in June 2024 and to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> in September 2024.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> could be added to a global index in February and there will be a big passive buying impact. The company is also buying back stock.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> has underperformed its peers over the past year and the index inclusion could help in closing some of that gap.</li>
</ul>



J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) listed in October 2023 and was added to one global index in June 2024 and to the HSCEI INDEX in September 2024.

J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) could be added to a global index in February and there will be a big passive buying impact. The company is also buying back stock.

J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) has underperformed its peers over the past year and the index inclusion could help in closing some of that gap.


J&T Global Express (1519 HK): Global Index Inclusion Coming Up

Hong Kong

J&T Global Express Limited operates as a global logistics service provider. The Company offers road express delivery, air express transportation, supply chain warehousing, and other value added services. J&T Global Express conducts business in China, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and other countries.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Impressive Volume Growth in 1Q25

J&T reported strong operating data in 1Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 31%.During the analyst briefing, J&T was confident that it...

CMB International

J&T Global Express H224 Results: Levers That Drove Earlier Improvement Are Losing Power

J&T Global's H224 earnings appear solid on the surface, but a closer look reveals that drivers of the company's improved profitability in recent...

Tracking Traffic

HSCEI Earning Revision Analysis (Apr): CCB, Sinopec, BOC, Petrochina, CNOOC, China Overseas, Ping An

We analyzed HSCEI component's consensus for the past month and highlighted changes of EPS in CCB, Sinopec, BOC, Petrochina, CNOOC, China Overseas,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quick Take on J&T Global Express Q324: Volume Growth in All Segments Slowed Dramatically

Last week J&T Global Express reported a sharp slowdown in average daily parcel volume in all of its operating segments. We think the numbers...

Tracking Traffic

J&T Global Express (1519 HK): Global Index Inclusion Coming Up

J&T Global Express could be added to a global index in Feb and passive trackers will need to buy between 14-31x ADV. The stock has underperformed...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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