Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Just as investors were starting to get comfortable investing in Chinese big tech, the Government has imposed new fines on a range of tech companies.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the June ending quarter could yet again be a disspointment with growth curtailed through lack of funding for loss making businesses.</li>
<li>Having gained around 50% in June 2022 through signs of easing the tech crackdown, these new fines and a weak June-ending quarter could resend tech valuations to March-2022 lows.    </li>
</ul>


Just as investors were starting to get comfortable investing in Chinese big tech, the Government has imposed new fines on a range of tech companies.
Meanwhile, the June ending quarter could yet again be a disspointment with growth curtailed through lack of funding for loss making businesses.
Having gained around 50% in June 2022 through signs of easing the tech crackdown, these new fines and a weak June-ending quarter could resend tech valuations to March-2022 lows.    


China’s Crackdown on Big Tech: Not Over by Any Means

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>JD.com opened a physical shopping mall and we believe it is following Alibaba.</li>
<li>JD.com signed contract with a state-owned power company for two reasons.</li>
<li>Two suppliers applied for the liquidation of Suning.com to the court.</li>
</ul>


JD.com opened a physical shopping mall and we believe it is following Alibaba.
JD.com signed contract with a state-owned power company for two reasons.
Two suppliers applied for the liquidation of Suning.com to the court.


China Internet Weekly (11Jul2022): JD.com, Alibaba, Suning.com, GoGoX

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 30th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight changes in short interests for AIA, Li Ning, and Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 30th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight changes in short interests for AIA, Li Ning, and Li Auto.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Tianqi managed to pull off the largest HK IPO so far this year, a good listing could see a pickup in other large deals.</li>
<li>For placements, SK IE couldn't hold on to its deal price, while Ming Yang kicked off what might be a busy GDR season.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Tianqi managed to pull off the largest HK IPO so far this year, a good listing could see a pickup in other large deals.
For placements, SK IE couldn't hold on to its deal price, while Ming Yang kicked off what might be a busy GDR season.


ECM Weekly (10th Jul 2022) -Tianqi, Thai Life, TPG, SK IE, Weilong, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, Deewin

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Z Holdings will integrate its eCommerce platforms in a move that boosts the PayPay brand and may generate some (very) modest synergies</li>
<li>We are publishing updated forecasts and setting a new target price at ¥550 but we remain cautious on the shares in the near term as consensus remains high</li>
<li>Shares of ZHD still appear expensive at 14-16x our estimate of FY22e EBITDA and are more expensive than Alphabet at these levels (12x EBITDA)</li>
</ul>


Z Holdings will integrate its eCommerce platforms in a move that boosts the PayPay brand and may generate some (very) modest synergies
We are publishing updated forecasts and setting a new target price at ¥550 but we remain cautious on the shares in the near term as consensus remains high
Shares of ZHD still appear expensive at 14-16x our estimate of FY22e EBITDA and are more expensive than Alphabet at these levels (12x EBITDA)


Z Holdings (Neutral) - PayPay Rebranding of ECommerce; We Remain Cautious in a Rebuilding Year

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

China’s Crackdown on Big Tech: Not Over by Any Means

The market turned positive in June-2022, through signs of easing the tech crackdown. However, these new fines and a weak June-ending quarter could...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China Internet Weekly (11Jul2022): JD.com, Alibaba, Suning.com, GoGoX

JD.com opened a physical shopping mall and we believe it is following Alibaba. JD.com signed contract with a state-owned power company. Two...

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest: AIA, Li Ning, Li Auto

We highlight week on week changes in short interests for AIA, Li Ning, and Li Auto based on the latest Hong Kong SFC short aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (10th Jul 2022) -Tianqi, Thai Life, TPG, SK IE, Weilong, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, Deewin

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Z Holdings (Neutral) - PayPay Rebranding of ECommerce; We Remain Cautious in a Rebuilding Year

Z Holdings will integrate its two eCommerce platforms but this appears to be more about ambitious growth targets for fintech. We are publishing new...

Kirk Boodry

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