Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Sanei Architecture Planning / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>[cue Tom Hardy gif saying "That's Bait"]. But yes, this story has a backstory to the Japanese underworld, and while the original sin may have been minor, it's everything.</li>
<li>The firm was raided, the CEO resigned, a govt authority "recommended" Sanei get rid of Mr Koike's influence, banks got antsy, employee morale dropped. Sanei needed a saviour.</li>
<li>Koike-San asked <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/open-house-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19550:1" rel="noopener">Open House (3288 JP)</a> to buy his shares. They agreed to take over the company. It's basically a done deal with a possible twist.</li>
</ul>


[cue Tom Hardy gif saying "That's Bait"]. But yes, this story has a backstory to the Japanese underworld, and while the original sin may have been minor, it's everything.
The firm was raided, the CEO resigned, a govt authority "recommended" Sanei get rid of Mr Koike's influence, banks got antsy, employee morale dropped. Sanei needed a saviour.
Koike-San asked Open House (3288 JP) to buy his shares. They agreed to take over the company. It's basically a done deal with a possible twist.


Sanei Architecture Planning (3228) Finds Saviour from Mafia-Linked Former Boss and Majority Owner

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiken-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15544:1" rel="noopener">Daiken Corp (7905 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyoden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7002:1" rel="noopener">Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaizu-suisankagaku-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20044:1" rel="noopener">Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-techno-solutions-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2431:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  Daiken Corp (7905 JP), 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP), Allkem Ltd (AKE AU), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP).       


Merger Arb Mondays (14 Aug) - Eoflow, Chindata, OreCorp, Origin, Estia, InvoCare, Daiken, Kyoden

<ul>
<li>Itochu owns 36.3% of building materials and engineering firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiken-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15544:1" rel="noopener">Daiken Corp (7905 JP)</a>. They have launched a tender with gimmicky Majority-of-Minority to buy the rest at ¥3,000/share, 4.7x FY2024e EBITDA. </li>
<li>That's low-ish, but given securities holdings, inventory, and net receivables at 4+x EBITDA it's probably too cheap, but it gets quite close to the minimum threshold just with cross-holders.</li>
<li>This deal price doesn't include synergies (according to the valuations and the SC) but a bump would need an agitator. Hope alone won't get it.</li>
</ul>


Itochu owns 36.3% of building materials and engineering firm Daiken Corp (7905 JP). They have launched a tender with gimmicky Majority-of-Minority to buy the rest at ¥3,000/share, 4.7x FY2024e EBITDA. 
That's low-ish, but given securities holdings, inventory, and net receivables at 4+x EBITDA it's probably too cheap, but it gets quite close to the minimum threshold just with cross-holders.
This deal price doesn't include synergies (according to the valuations and the SC) but a bump would need an agitator. Hope alone won't get it.


Itochu Takeout of Daiken (7905) - Too Low at ¥3,000/Share But May Be Tough To Oppose

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silvercorp-metals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25818:1" rel="noopener">Silvercorp Metals (SVM CN)</a> scrip Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyoden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7002:1" rel="noopener">Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals this week: Silvercorp Metals (SVM CN) scrip Offer for Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU); and Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP)'s Tender Offer. 
Key updates took place for Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), and Eoflow (294090 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Invocare, Estia, Metro Pacific, Orecorp, Kyoden

<ul>
<li>The data for the Nikkei 225 Rebalance is cemented as of 31 July 2023. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)</a> looks like a shoo-in. The DELETEs are obvious too.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> doesn't get a cap (yet). But the other ADDs are a real question. It is a matter of interpreting the methodology and qualitative aspects. And FLOAT.</li>
<li>One way, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari (4385)</a> are ADDs. Another way, it looks like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zozo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18379:1" rel="noopener">ZOZO Inc (3092)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453)</a>. FLOAT IS A PROBLEM ANYWAY.</li>
</ul>


The data for the Nikkei 225 Rebalance is cemented as of 31 July 2023. Lasertec Corp (6920 JP) looks like a shoo-in. The DELETEs are obvious too.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) doesn't get a cap (yet). But the other ADDs are a real question. It is a matter of interpreting the methodology and qualitative aspects. And FLOAT.
One way, Socionext (6526) and Mercari (4385) are ADDs. Another way, it looks like Nitori Holdings (9843) and ZOZO Inc (3092) or Ryohin Keikaku (7453). FLOAT IS A PROBLEM ANYWAY.


Sep 2023 Nikkei 225 Review - Not An Easy Rebal 🤨

Japan

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides passenger rail and bus transportation in Osaka and Kyoto prefectures.  The Company operates department stores, hotels, travel agents, and restaurants in the vicinity of its railway system.  The Company leases and sells real estate and offers a wide range of construction works.

Nisshinbo Holdings Inc. manufactures cotton fabrics, synthetic textiles, and chemical products used in apparel and industrial materials.  The Company also makes a variety of paper products, electronics products for wireless communication devices and semiconductors, and specialized machines for industrial manufacturing. In addition, Nisshinbo makes brakes for automobiles.

TOKAI Holdings Corporation is a holding company established through reorganization of TOKAI CORPORATION and VIC TOKAI CORPORATION.  The Group mainly provides energy business and information-communication business.  TOKAI Holdings Corporation also provides construction and real estate, bridal and insurance and security businesses.

Katakura Industries Co., Ltd. operates in a range of business segments. The Company manfucatures and sells clothing and textile products, pharmaceutical products, automobile parts, fire pump cars and agricultural machinery. Katakura also operates shopping and home centers, the leasing of real estate and the provision of building management services.

Mie Kotsu Group Holdings, Inc. through its subsidiaries, provides bus and taxi transportation services in Mie prefecture. The company also sells, leases and manages houses, apartment and commercial facilities. In addition, Mie Kotsu operates department stores, hotels, and leisure-related services and construction works.

OBAYASHI CORPORATION is a general contractor operating nationwide and overseas. The Company builds commercial, residential, institutional buildings with earthquake-resistant technology.  Obayashi also performs civil engineering works for such as railroads.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates real estate, golf course, and financial businesses.

KAJIMA CORPORATION is a general contractor operating nationwide and overseas. The Company builds commercial, residential, and institutional buildings with high-rise and earthquake-resistant construction technology.  Kajima also performs large scale civil engineering works such as nuclear power plants. The Company operates real estate and office automation equipment businesses.

Nippi, Incorporated. manufactures gelatin and collagen peptides for food products, health foods, and pharmaceutical, photographic film and printing paper.  The Company manufactures leather for shoes, bags, car interiors and clothing.

Minebea Mitsumi manufactures and markets miniature and instrument ball bearings.  The Company also makes DC motors, servo motors, stepping motors, spindle motors, pivot assemblies, rod-end and spherical bearings, fasteners, and computer keyboards. Minebea Mitsumi has production facilities in Thailand and Singapore.

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

Samsung C&T Corporation conducts diversified business support services and resort operation activities. The Company offers a range of services in areas including clothing retail, construction, energy, real estate, food service, and resort accommodations. Samsung C&T also operates a resort with amusement rides, a zoo, water park, golf clubs, and restaurants.

LG Corp. is a holding company, which operates subsidiaries including LG Electronics, LG Household & Health Care, LG Chem Ltd., and Dacom Corp. The Company's main business areas are electronics, chemicals, and household products manufacturing and telecommunications services.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited is a multinational enterprise with a portfolio of businesses focused on the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's activities include financial services, supermarkets, consumer marketing, engineering and construction, automobile trading, insurance broking, property investment, and hotels.

SM Investments Corporation is an investment holding company. The Company operates retail business and develops shopping mall and other real estate property.  The Company also provides tourism services.

Smiths Group plc is a global technology company.  The company delivers products and services for the threat & contraband detection, medical devices, energy and communications market worldwide.

Lifco AB operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides dental products, machinery and tools, sawmill equipment, contract manufacturing, vehicle interiors, and environmental technology. Lifco offers its products through a network of subsidiaries and partnerships worldwide.

Grupo Carso SAB de CV is a holding company with subsidiaries in the construction ,retail and industrial materials industries. The Company's products and services include: oil platform construction; shoping centers, industrial facilities and corporate buildings construction; highway construction; dam and aqueduct construction; steel tubes; and housing.

KOC Holding A.S. is a holding company. The Company has interests in manufacturers of automobiles, household appliances, consumer electronics, textiles, construction materials and other goods, food processers, liquefied petroleum gas distributors, insurance, factoring, lease financing, and securities brokerage companies, and banks.

Enka Insaat ve Sanayi AS provides construction and construction related services worldwide. The Company builds infrastructure, commercial projects and factories. The manufacturing subsidiaries produce construction materials, steel pipes, windows and hand tools. The Group also imports and distributes industrial machinery in Turkey.

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Sanei Architecture Planning (3228) Finds Saviour from Mafia-Linked Former Boss and Majority Owner

Sanei Architecture Planning (3228) got in a spot of bother with a yakuza-linked payment. That is forcing the change in control, and a tender offer...

Travis Lundy

Merger Arb Mondays (14 Aug) - Eoflow, Chindata, OreCorp, Origin, Estia, InvoCare, Daiken, Kyoden

This week, the highest gross spreads are Daiken (28.8%), 111 (20.8%), Eoflow (13.2%), Kyoden (12.6%), Orecorp (10.8%), Symbio (10.7%), ENM (9.4%),...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Invocare, Estia, Metro Pacific, Orecorp, Kyoden

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Sep 2023 Nikkei 225 Review - Not An Easy Rebal 🤨

The Sep 2023 Nikkei 225 Periodic Review is problematic. For the first time under the new rules we have "Serious Rule Interpretation Issues." Then...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

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Sanei Architecture Planning (3228) Finds Saviour from Mafia-Linked Former Boss and Majority Owner

Sanei Architecture Planning (3228) got in a spot of bother with a yakuza-linked payment. That is forcing the change in control, and a tender offer...

Travis Lundy

Merger Arb Mondays (14 Aug) - Eoflow, Chindata, OreCorp, Origin, Estia, InvoCare, Daiken, Kyoden

This week, the highest gross spreads are Daiken (28.8%), 111 (20.8%), Eoflow (13.2%), Kyoden (12.6%), Orecorp (10.8%), Symbio (10.7%), ENM (9.4%),...

Arun George

Itochu Takeout of Daiken (7905) - Too Low at ¥3,000/Share But May Be Tough To Oppose

Itochu is taking out its equity affiliate building materials and engineering firm Daiken (7905). Itochu lowballed, raised, the raised 3x more, but...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Invocare, Estia, Metro Pacific, Orecorp, Kyoden

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Sep 2023 Nikkei 225 Review - Not An Easy Rebal 🤨

The Sep 2023 Nikkei 225 Periodic Review is problematic. For the first time under the new rules we have "Serious Rule Interpretation Issues." Then...

Travis Lundy