Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Itochu owns 36.3% of building materials and engineering firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiken-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15544:1" rel="noopener">Daiken Corp (7905 JP)</a>. They have launched a tender with gimmicky Majority-of-Minority to buy the rest at ¥3,000/share, 4.7x FY2024e EBITDA. </li>
<li>That's low-ish, but given securities holdings, inventory, and net receivables at 4+x EBITDA it's probably too cheap, but it gets quite close to the minimum threshold just with cross-holders.</li>
<li>This deal price doesn't include synergies (according to the valuations and the SC) but a bump would need an agitator. Hope alone won't get it.</li>
</ul>


Itochu owns 36.3% of building materials and engineering firm Daiken Corp (7905 JP). They have launched a tender with gimmicky Majority-of-Minority to buy the rest at ¥3,000/share, 4.7x FY2024e EBITDA. 
That's low-ish, but given securities holdings, inventory, and net receivables at 4+x EBITDA it's probably too cheap, but it gets quite close to the minimum threshold just with cross-holders.
This deal price doesn't include synergies (according to the valuations and the SC) but a bump would need an agitator. Hope alone won't get it.


Itochu Takeout of Daiken (7905) - Too Low at ¥3,000/Share But May Be Tough To Oppose