Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.</li>
<li>Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.</li>
</ul>


Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.
Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.
Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.


Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.
Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Sanil Electric IPO - Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> IFA opines that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.</li>
<li>In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.</li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. </li>
</ul>



Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Webtoon Entertainment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.
Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:840:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)</a> shows us that worsening policies in force is far more important to earnings than staggering growth of new policies.</li>
<li>Returns and profit growth are weak and this should matter more than a puritanical focus on new policies, embedded value.</li>
<li>Non-Operational line items, likely hedging costs and reserve adjustments, are cancelling out most all positives in operations.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP) shows us that worsening policies in force is far more important to earnings than staggering growth of new policies.
Returns and profit growth are weak and this should matter more than a puritanical focus on new policies, embedded value.
Non-Operational line items, likely hedging costs and reserve adjustments, are cancelling out most all positives in operations.


Japan Post Insurance - Weakening Policies In Force and Meaningful Hits from Non-Operational Items

South Korea

Samsung Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and health insurance services. Samsung Life Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)

Sanil Electric IPO - Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Shares will likely breach float requirements and be suspended at offer close. While trading through terms, recent precedent suggests that investors...

Arun George

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

Japan Post Insurance - Weakening Policies In Force and Meaningful Hits from Non-Operational Items

Weakening policies in force, high claims and operating costs, and substantial non-operational negatives, are cancelling out any positives in new...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

This post explores trading angles triggered by Samsung C&T’s forced holding company conversion issue, caused by the rise in Samsung Biologics'...

Sanghyun Park

Sanil Electric IPO - Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Shares will likely breach float requirements and be suspended at offer close. While trading through terms, recent precedent suggests that investors...

Arun George

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

Japan Post Insurance - Weakening Policies In Force and Meaningful Hits from Non-Operational Items

Weakening policies in force, high claims and operating costs, and substantial non-operational negatives, are cancelling out any positives in new...

Daniel Tabbush