Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the past several years, one of the biggest risk factors on Samsung Electronics and other Samsung Group affiliates has been the huge inheritance tax payments by the Lee family.</li>
<li>Despite the weak share price performances of the four major Samsung Group affiliates, their consolidated equity increased by 31.4% on average from end of 2019 to end of 3Q 2024.</li>
<li>Once Lee family pays off the fifth installment in 2025, the market could look upon this situation more favorably due to reduced overhang associated with additional future inheritance tax payments.</li>
</ul>


In the past several years, one of the biggest risk factors on Samsung Electronics and other Samsung Group affiliates has been the huge inheritance tax payments by the Lee family.
Despite the weak share price performances of the four major Samsung Group affiliates, their consolidated equity increased by 31.4% on average from end of 2019 to end of 3Q 2024.
Once Lee family pays off the fifth installment in 2025, the market could look upon this situation more favorably due to reduced overhang associated with additional future inheritance tax payments.


Samsung Electronics: Trading Strategy Post Another Inheritance Tax Sale

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, with a look at Japan &amp; Korea after having looked at HK &amp; India.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, with a look at Japan &amp; Korea after having looked at HK &amp; India.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - Japan and South Korea

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD457.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD259mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) .</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD457.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD259mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) .


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Electronics

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a <em><strong>"special rebalancing"</strong></em> of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.</li>
<li>In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.</li>
<li>If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. </li>
</ul>


On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.
In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.
If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. 


A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Most loans with collateral floors are at or below thresholds, and all three court deposits are near or under a 30% drop from their initial valuation.</li>
<li>No solid intel on share sales yet, and it's unlikely they’ll sell Samsung Electronics after a 30% dip. They may focus on their stakes in Samsung Life or Samsung SDS.</li>
<li>There's talk Samsung might boost prices to help the family avoid the collateral floor issue, but with DRAM demand down, a major shareholder return seems unlikely for now.</li>
</ul>


Most loans with collateral floors are at or below thresholds, and all three court deposits are near or under a 30% drop from their initial valuation.
No solid intel on share sales yet, and it's unlikely they’ll sell Samsung Electronics after a 30% dip. They may focus on their stakes in Samsung Life or Samsung SDS.
There's talk Samsung might boost prices to help the family avoid the collateral floor issue, but with DRAM demand down, a major shareholder return seems unlikely for now.


Situation Flagged: Sammy Stock Hits Level that Squeezes Family’s Loan Collateral Floor

South Korea

Samsung Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and health insurance services. Samsung Life Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

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Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)

Samsung Electronics: Trading Strategy Post Another Inheritance Tax Sale

It is start of another year and that means another fat inheritance tax payment for Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and other Samsung Group affiliates.

Douglas Kim

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - Japan and South Korea

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, with a look at Japan & Korea after having looked at HK & India.

Sumeet Singh

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

KRX announced announced that a special rebalancing of 5 stocks to be included in the ‘Korea Value Up Index’ - KB Financial, Hana Financial, Hyundai...

Douglas Kim

Situation Flagged: Sammy Stock Hits Level that Squeezes Family’s Loan Collateral Floor

Samsung Electronics hits a level squeezing the Samsung family’s stock-backed loan collateral floor, tied to their inheritance tax—definitely a key...

Sanghyun Park

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