Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium</li>
<li>Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled</li>
<li>Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector</li>
</ul>


Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium
Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled
Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector


Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro</a> with valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn are expected to be listed in October 2024 and become the largest Japanese IPOs since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27445:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Corp (9434 JP)</a> in 2018.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> is currently forecasted to fail fast entries of both Global indices due to low IPO free float. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro</a> is expected to be added via fast-entry in one Global Index because of higher IPO free float. Forecasted demand of ~$140m is expected on the fifth trading day.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia and Tokyo Metro with valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn are expected to be listed in October 2024 and become the largest Japanese IPOs since Softbank Corp (9434 JP) in 2018.

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is currently forecasted to fail fast entries of both Global indices due to low IPO free float. 

Tokyo Metro is expected to be added via fast-entry in one Global Index because of higher IPO free float. Forecasted demand of ~$140m is expected on the fifth trading day.


Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).</li>
<li>SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. </li>
<li>The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).
SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. 
The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.


Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. </li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. 
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers
In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.


Kioxia IPO Early Re-Look - Better Placed This Time Around

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Semicon West is “back”! Participation this year was up 65% compared to 2022, and I believe it’s an all-time high for visitors! Over 25,000 attendees came to Semicon this year, and that’s the best sign that semiconductor manufacturing in the US is back!</li>
<li>Amid Applied Material’s new tool Vistara, Lam Research talking about their simulation platform, and Tokyo Electron talking about a new etch tool, there was a flurry of news and product announcements.</li>
<li>The most exciting piece of news is Tokyo Electron’s cryogenic etch product. Their new product is a big deal.</li>
</ul>


Semicon West is “back”! Participation this year was up 65% compared to 2022, and I believe it’s an all-time high for visitors! Over 25,000 attendees came to Semicon this year, and that’s the best sign that semiconductor manufacturing in the US is back!
Amid Applied Material’s new tool Vistara, Lam Research talking about their simulation platform, and Tokyo Electron talking about a new etch tool, there was a flurry of news and product announcements.
The most exciting piece of news is Tokyo Electron’s cryogenic etch product. Their new product is a big deal.


Semicon West: Big Shifts in the NAND Market

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings markets its products worldwide.

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Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)

Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Kioxia and Tokyo Metro are expected to list in October at valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn. Tokyo Metro is forecasted to qualify for fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on...

Douglas Kim

Kioxia IPO Early Re-Look - Better Placed This Time Around

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. In this note, we take an early...

Sumeet Singh

Semicon West: Big Shifts in the NAND Market

Semicon West is “back”! Participation this year was up 65% compared to 2022, and I believe it’s an all-time high for visitors! Over 25,000...

Fabricated Knowledge

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

​IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Kioxia and Tokyo Metro are expected to list in October at valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn. Tokyo Metro is forecasted to qualify for fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on...

Douglas Kim

Kioxia IPO Early Re-Look - Better Placed This Time Around

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. In this note, we take an early...

Sumeet Singh

Semicon West: Big Shifts in the NAND Market

Semicon West is “back”! Participation this year was up 65% compared to 2022, and I believe it’s an all-time high for visitors! Over 25,000...

Fabricated Knowledge

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...