Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at 750 billion yen ($4.8 billion), down nearly 50% from the initial market value estimates about 2-3 months ago. </li>
<li>Kioxia had revenue of 909.4 billion Yen (up 84.6% YoY) and EBITDA of 449.6 billion Yen in 1H FY24, driven by the recovering demand for data center and enterprise SSDs.</li>
<li>As of 2Q 2024, Samsung Electronics was the largest player in the global NAND Flash market with a 36.9% market, followed by SK Group (22.1%), and Kioxia (13.8%).</li>
</ul>


Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at 750 billion yen ($4.8 billion), down nearly 50% from the initial market value estimates about 2-3 months ago. 
Kioxia had revenue of 909.4 billion Yen (up 84.6% YoY) and EBITDA of 449.6 billion Yen in 1H FY24, driven by the recovering demand for data center and enterprise SSDs.
As of 2Q 2024, Samsung Electronics was the largest player in the global NAND Flash market with a 36.9% market, followed by SK Group (22.1%), and Kioxia (13.8%).


US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> is scheduled to be listed on 18 December 2024, at the prime market of TSE at an expected valuation of ~$4.9bn.</li>
<li>The security's low free float is the main cause of Fast-Entry rejection by both global indices and quarterly exclusion from the one global index.</li>
<li>Quarterly inclusion to the other global index is forecasted for June 2025 following the 3-month minimum trading requirement. </li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) is scheduled to be listed on 18 December 2024, at the prime market of TSE at an expected valuation of ~$4.9bn.
The security's low free float is the main cause of Fast-Entry rejection by both global indices and quarterly exclusion from the one global index.
Quarterly inclusion to the other global index is forecasted for June 2025 following the 3-month minimum trading requirement. 


Kioxia (285A JP): Early Christmas with IPO Approval, Grinch Steals Fast-Entry

<ul>
<li>Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).</li>
<li>SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. </li>
<li>The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia is getting ready to complete its IPO in Japan as soon as in October. Kioxia's valuation is expected to exceed JPY 1.5 trillion (about USD 10.3 billion).
SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia (through Bain led consortium) is 19%. SK Hynix's stake in Kioxia would rise to 34% if the CBs are converted into equity. 
The IPO of Kioxia has mixed implications for SK Hynix which is a major shareholder. However, the IPO of Kioxia has a more direct negative impact on Samsung Electronics.


Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium</li>
<li>Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled</li>
<li>Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector</li>
</ul>


Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium
Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled
Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector


Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro</a> with valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn are expected to be listed in October 2024 and become the largest Japanese IPOs since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27445:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Corp (9434 JP)</a> in 2018.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> is currently forecasted to fail fast entries of both Global indices due to low IPO free float. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro</a> is expected to be added via fast-entry in one Global Index because of higher IPO free float. Forecasted demand of ~$140m is expected on the fifth trading day.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia and Tokyo Metro with valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn are expected to be listed in October 2024 and become the largest Japanese IPOs since Softbank Corp (9434 JP) in 2018.

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is currently forecasted to fail fast entries of both Global indices due to low IPO free float. 

Tokyo Metro is expected to be added via fast-entry in one Global Index because of higher IPO free float. Forecasted demand of ~$140m is expected on the fifth trading day.


Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings markets its products worldwide.

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Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)

Kioxia IPO Preview

Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at 750 billion yen ($4.8 billion), down nearly 50% from the initial market value...

Douglas Kim

Kioxia (285A JP): Early Christmas with IPO Approval, Grinch Steals Fast-Entry

Kioxia Holdings (285A) is expected to fail Fast-Entry in both global indices due to low IPO free float but is forecasted to be added at the June...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at ¥750 billion ($4.8 billion). The IPO is priced at ¥1,390 ($9) per share. The...

Douglas Kim

Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Kioxia and Tokyo Metro are expected to list in October at valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn. Tokyo Metro is forecasted to qualify for fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kioxia IPO Preview

Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at 750 billion yen ($4.8 billion), down nearly 50% from the initial market value...

Douglas Kim

Kioxia (285A JP): Early Christmas with IPO Approval, Grinch Steals Fast-Entry

​Kioxia Holdings (285A) is expected to fail Fast-Entry in both global indices due to low IPO free float but is forecasted to be added at the June...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Initial Thoughts on the Kioxia IPO - Impact on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics

Kioxia plans to complete its IPO on 18 December, valuing Kioxia at ¥750 billion ($4.8 billion). The IPO is priced at ¥1,390 ($9) per share. The...

Douglas Kim

Tech: Japan's Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

​IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...

Neil Campling

Kioxia & Tokyo Metro: Japan's Largest IPOs Since 2018 Expected This October

Kioxia and Tokyo Metro are expected to list in October at valuations of ~$10bn and ~$4.6bn. Tokyo Metro is forecasted to qualify for fast-entry...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Kioxia Holdings (285A) is expected to fail Fast-Entry in both global indices due to low IPO free float but is forecasted to be added at the June...

IPO valuation stretched as peer price declines leave desired discount turning into a premium. investor interest in memory semiconductors and AI...