Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.</li>
<li>Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.</li>
<li>Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.</li>
</ul>


If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.
Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.
Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.


Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

<ul>
<li>Chosun reports that some Samsung affiliates are exploring tax-free dividends at the operational level, with execs reportedly briefed on the idea.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, regulators and politicians haven't objected to tax-free dividends, which ironically align with the value-up policy. The delay in Samsung's value-up announcements may be due to this decision.</li>
<li>It’s unclear if Samsung Electronics and Life will drop tax-free dividends, but if regulators approve, they could introduce it suddenly in their value-up updates, especially with Lee Jae-yong’s cash crunch.</li>
</ul>


Chosun reports that some Samsung affiliates are exploring tax-free dividends at the operational level, with execs reportedly briefed on the idea.
Surprisingly, regulators and politicians haven't objected to tax-free dividends, which ironically align with the value-up policy. The delay in Samsung's value-up announcements may be due to this decision.
It’s unclear if Samsung Electronics and Life will drop tax-free dividends, but if regulators approve, they could introduce it suddenly in their value-up updates, especially with Lee Jae-yong’s cash crunch.


The Hot Chatter in the Local Market: Tax-Free Dividends – Is Samsung In?

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/douglas-kim" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:342" rel="noopener">Douglas Kim</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-fire-marine-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:511:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a> plan to sell shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> in block deal sales. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-primed-for-a-rally-key-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previously discussed</a> the possibility that the stock may start to rally. </li>
<li>At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, <strong>our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Douglas Kim, Samsung Life Insurance and Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance plan to sell shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) in block deal sales. 

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have previously discussed the possibility that the stock may start to rally. 
At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 March.</li>
<li>Our top 10 Korean stock picks from 14 to 28 January are down on average 1.8%, slightly outperforming KOSPI which is down 2.2% in the same period.</li>
<li>The top 10 Korean stock picks (bi-weekly) include SL Corp, Korea Electric Terminal, BNK Financial, S1, LX International, Doubleugames, Samsung C&amp;T, Amorepacific Corp (pref), SK Telecom, and POSCO International. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 March.
Our top 10 Korean stock picks from 14 to 28 January are down on average 1.8%, slightly outperforming KOSPI which is down 2.2% in the same period.
The top 10 Korean stock picks (bi-weekly) include SL Corp, Korea Electric Terminal, BNK Financial, S1, LX International, Doubleugames, Samsung C&amp;T, Amorepacific Corp (pref), SK Telecom, and POSCO International. 


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (3 March 2025)

<ul>
<li>Samsung Life isn't getting a boost from Samsung Fire, so they need to stay focused on managing equity to maintain their K-ICS ratio.</li>
<li>They’ll use capital securities issuance as a quick fix but must also monitor their Samsung Electronics stake, a major asset, to manage the situation effectively.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics will likely focus on dividends over buybacks. Watch for a pair trade setup between common and preferred shares, favoring long positions on preferreds.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Life isn't getting a boost from Samsung Fire, so they need to stay focused on managing equity to maintain their K-ICS ratio.
They’ll use capital securities issuance as a quick fix but must also monitor their Samsung Electronics stake, a major asset, to manage the situation effectively.
Samsung Electronics will likely focus on dividends over buybacks. Watch for a pair trade setup between common and preferred shares, favoring long positions on preferreds.


Clarifying Samsung Life’s Position on How Samsung Electronics Structures Its Shareholder Returns

South Korea

Samsung Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and health insurance services. Samsung Life Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

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Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)

Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

This post covers the virtual finalization of Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 buyback disposal plan and highlights two key trading implications.

Sanghyun Park

The Hot Chatter in the Local Market: Tax-Free Dividends – Is Samsung In?

This post takes a dive into the hot topic in the local market: tax-free dividends – Will Samsung go for tax-free dividends?

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

Shares of Samsung Electronics are soon going to be sold in block deal sales. The stock is oversold and has been "bottoming" since November 2024, we...

Nico Rosti

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (3 March 2025)

In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 March.

Douglas Kim

Clarifying Samsung Life’s Position on How Samsung Electronics Structures Its Shareholder Returns

This post clarifies Samsung Life’s position on how Samsung Electronics structures its shareholder returns in the upcoming value-up disclosure.

Sanghyun Park

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