Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a> last week closed strongly up. This week it's pulling back, but MRM pattern readings forecast a very short-lived pullback (-1 to -2 weeks).</li>
<li>The suggested strategy is: let the index play out its pullback (warning: it can be volatile) and then enter LONG trades when the probability is good.</li>
<li>
Suggested support price areas are between 18965 (Q2) and 18732 (Q3) - or this Friday at Close (as long as the close is negative).</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI) last week closed strongly up. This week it's pulling back, but MRM pattern readings forecast a very short-lived pullback (-1 to -2 weeks).
The suggested strategy is: let the index play out its pullback (warning: it can be volatile) and then enter LONG trades when the probability is good.

Suggested support price areas are between 18965 (Q2) and 18732 (Q3) - or this Friday at Close (as long as the close is negative).


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY Deep-But-Brief Pullback

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)</li>
<li>700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)</li>
<li>XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )</li>
</ul>


BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)
700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)
XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )


China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect JD to report C2Q23 revenue in-line vs. cons., and non-IFRS net income 6% vs. consensus.</li>
<li>Although we raised our GMV estimate, our 5% YoY revenue growth estimate is unchanged as we expect 3P take rate decline to partially offset GMV growth.</li>
<li>We maintain SELL and TP but cut FY23 non-GAAP net margin to 3% due to the greater share of lower margin 1P revenue vs. our prior estimate.</li>
</ul>


We expect JD to report C2Q23 revenue in-line vs. cons., and non-IFRS net income 6% vs. consensus.
Although we raised our GMV estimate, our 5% YoY revenue growth estimate is unchanged as we expect 3P take rate decline to partially offset GMV growth.
We maintain SELL and TP but cut FY23 non-GAAP net margin to 3% due to the greater share of lower margin 1P revenue vs. our prior estimate.


[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Preview]: Short-Term Demand Doesn’t Indicate a Long-Term Trend

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>JD Retail (JDR) will likely deliver better than our previously expected GMV and revenue growth for 2Q23E, aided by improvement of third-party business operating environment, and better than expected 618 shopping festival results. In addition, JD remains committed in driving for quality revenue and earnings growth.</li><li>In our view, JD will remain cautious in investing heavily to drive for new user acquisition until it finished enhancement of supply chain capabilities, which likely speaks to better-than-expected earnings growth in the near term, while the company still needs to grow user base in order to drive for steady platform business development over the long-run.</li><li>We lifted our DCF-based target price by 1% to US$63.4 to factor in potential better-than-expected JDR revenue and earnings growth, which translates into 20.3x 2023E non-GAAP PE. Maintain BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD Retail (JDR) will likely deliver better than our previously expected GMV and revenue growth for 2Q23E, aided by improvement of third-party business operating environment, and better than expected 618 shopping festival results. In addition, JD remains committed in driving for quality revenue and earnings growth.In our view, JD will remain cautious in investing heavily to drive for new user acquisition until it finished enhancement of supply chain capabilities, which likely speaks to better-than-expected earnings growth in the near term, while the company still needs to grow user base in order to drive for steady platform business development over the long-run.We lifted our DCF-based target price by 1% to US$63.4 to factor in potential better-than-expected JDR revenue and earnings growth, which translates into 20.3x 2023E non-GAAP PE. Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Driving for Quality Growth Remains Key Theme

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, HK IPOs appear to be coming back to life with some deals managing to perform this week.</li>
<li>For placements, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/plus-alpha-consulting-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33441:1" rel="noopener">Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP)</a> were joined by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/patanjali-foods-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12707:1" rel="noopener">Patanjali Foods (PATANJAL IN)</a> in a relatively busy week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, HK IPOs appear to be coming back to life with some deals managing to perform this week.
For placements, Socionext (6526 JP) and Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) were joined by LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) and Patanjali Foods (PATANJAL IN) in a relatively busy week.


ECM Weekly (16th July 2023) - LG Energy, Socionext, Plus Alpha, Syngenta, Cinema XXI, Genda, Fadu

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY Deep-But-Brief Pullback

The Hang Seng Index is pulling back, but this move should be short-lived according to the Market Reversal Matrix's analysis of the index's support...

Nico Rosti

China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)/700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Preview]: Short-Term Demand Doesn’t Indicate a Long-Term Trend

We maintain SELL and TP but cut FY23 non-GAAP net margin to 3% due to the greater share of lower margin 1P revenue vs. our prior estimate.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD.com (JD US) – Driving for Quality Growth Remains Key Theme

JD Retail (JDR) will likely deliver better than our previously expected GMV and revenue growth for 2Q23E, aided by improvement of third-party...

CMB International

ECM Weekly (16th July 2023) - LG Energy, Socionext, Plus Alpha, Syngenta, Cinema XXI, Genda, Fadu

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)