Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea Zinc announced a massive rights offering worth 2.5 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 670,000 won (57% lower than the closing price on 29 October).</li>
<li>The company plans to use 2.3 trillion won in debt repayment and 135 billion won for working capital as well as help to alleviate the risk of delisting. </li>
<li><em><strong>This rights offering symbolizes a display of "Korea Discount" at its worst and likely to put continued negative pressure on Korea Zinc's share price in the coming weeks. </strong></em></li>
</ul>


Korea Zinc announced a massive rights offering worth 2.5 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 670,000 won (57% lower than the closing price on 29 October).
The company plans to use 2.3 trillion won in debt repayment and 135 billion won for working capital as well as help to alleviate the risk of delisting. 
This rights offering symbolizes a display of "Korea Discount" at its worst and likely to put continued negative pressure on Korea Zinc's share price in the coming weeks. 


Korea Zinc - Rights Offering of 2.5 Trillion Won Is a Display Of "Korea Discount" At Its Worst

<ul>
<li>Ham Young-Il (Deputy Director at FSS) stated that there is a high possibility of an unfair trading practice with regards to Korea Zinc's yesterday announcement of a massive capital raise.</li>
<li>If the FSS puts a break on the capital raise, then there is less likely probability of a fierce proxy war between the two sides. </li>
<li>All in all, we expect continued high volatility on Korea Zinc's share price and we remain negative on its share price in the next several weeks. </li>
</ul>


Ham Young-Il (Deputy Director at FSS) stated that there is a high possibility of an unfair trading practice with regards to Korea Zinc's yesterday announcement of a massive capital raise.
If the FSS puts a break on the capital raise, then there is less likely probability of a fierce proxy war between the two sides. 
All in all, we expect continued high volatility on Korea Zinc's share price and we remain negative on its share price in the next several weeks. 


FSS Could Put a Break on the Massive Capital Raise by Korea Zinc This Year

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Today's FSS briefing warned Choi, favoring MBK. It looks likely Korea Zinc will retract the rights offering, or we might see a rare showdown with the FSS.</li>
<li>Will Korea Zinc's stock rally? Uncertain. The recent price jump was driven mainly by short squeezes. Volatility seems unlikely now with many shorts cleared out.</li>
<li>We should watch the shareholder vote, as open market buying continues, keeping Korea Zinc's stock tight. We should expect potential swings due to passive outflows.</li>
</ul>


Today's FSS briefing warned Choi, favoring MBK. It looks likely Korea Zinc will retract the rights offering, or we might see a rare showdown with the FSS.
Will Korea Zinc's stock rally? Uncertain. The recent price jump was driven mainly by short squeezes. Volatility seems unlikely now with many shorts cleared out.
We should watch the shareholder vote, as open market buying continues, keeping Korea Zinc's stock tight. We should expect potential swings due to passive outflows.


FSS Briefing on Korea Zinc: Likely to Retract Rights Offering; Set up Trades for Passive Outflows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>12 ETFs (9 passive and 3 active) and 1 ETN tracking the Korea Value-Up Index will start trading on the KRX on 4 November.</li>
<li>At listing, the combined AUM across the 13 products is KRW 511bn (US$370m). So not a lot of impact on the stocks in the index.</li>
<li>The expectation is that there will be a lot of money that starts to track the index after the ETF listing. Looking at Japan, that is not a success story.</li>
</ul>


12 ETFs (9 passive and 3 active) and 1 ETN tracking the Korea Value-Up Index will start trading on the KRX on 4 November.
At listing, the combined AUM across the 13 products is KRW 511bn (US$370m). So not a lot of impact on the stocks in the index.
The expectation is that there will be a lot of money that starts to track the index after the ETF listing. Looking at Japan, that is not a success story.


Korea Value-Up ETFs: Listing on 4 Nov with US$370m AUM

<ul>
<li>A unique clause caps any single subscriber, including related parties, to 3% of the total issuance, or 111,979 shares, limiting MBK and Choi’s camp.</li>
<li>While there are legal risks regarding breach of duty, the capital raise is solid and unlikely to face immediate shutdown despite potential court challenges from MBK.</li>
<li>There are trading opportunities as 20% of shares are newly issued, potentially opening the door for MBK's tender offer and attracting new shareholders, including arb hunters.</li>
</ul>


A unique clause caps any single subscriber, including related parties, to 3% of the total issuance, or 111,979 shares, limiting MBK and Choi’s camp.
While there are legal risks regarding breach of duty, the capital raise is solid and unlikely to face immediate shutdown despite potential court challenges from MBK.
There are trading opportunities as 20% of shares are newly issued, potentially opening the door for MBK's tender offer and attracting new shareholders, including arb hunters.


Breaking Down the Details of Korea Zinc’s Shocking Capital Raise

South Korea

Korea Zinc Co., Ltd. specializes in non-ferrous metal smelting industry.  The Company manufactures zinc ingots, electrolytic gold, silver, lead, sulfuric acid, and copper.  Korea Zinc provides its products to domestic and overseas markets.

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Korea Zinc (010130 KS)

Korea Zinc - Rights Offering of 2.5 Trillion Won Is a Display Of "Korea Discount" At Its Worst

MBK Partners Chairman Kim Byung-Joo revealed for the first time on why he is pushing to acquire Korea Zinc. According to MBK Chairman, he mentioned...

Douglas Kim

FSS Could Put a Break on the Massive Capital Raise by Korea Zinc This Year

From the tone and contents of what the FSS Deputy Director Ham has said, we would put a 80-90% probability that the FSS puts a break on Korea...

Douglas Kim

FSS Briefing on Korea Zinc: Likely to Retract Rights Offering; Set up Trades for Passive Outflows

This post covers today’s FSS briefing on the Korea Zinc rights offering and explores the reasons behind the likely cancellation. It also highlights...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Value-Up ETFs: Listing on 4 Nov with US$370m AUM

12 ETFs (9 passive and 3 active) and 1 ETN tracking the Korea Value-Up Index will start trading on the KRX on 4 November. Total assets at launch...

Brian Freitas

Breaking Down the Details of Korea Zinc’s Shocking Capital Raise

This post dives into the details of Korea Zinc’s shocking capital raise announced this morning and breaks down what it all means from a trading...

Sanghyun Park

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