Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.</li>
<li>Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.
Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.
We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) announced on September 18 the approval for H-share listing for a total of not more than 10% of its outstanding shares (before overallotment).</li>
<li>Reasons for the listing include the possible share incentive program for overseas employees and more exposure to foreign investors. </li>
<li>The H-share listing could be a safe bet given the current valuation profile, especially if the discount to A-share is larger than 10%. </li>
</ul>


Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) announced on September 18 the approval for H-share listing for a total of not more than 10% of its outstanding shares (before overallotment).
Reasons for the listing include the possible share incentive program for overseas employees and more exposure to foreign investors. 
The H-share listing could be a safe bet given the current valuation profile, especially if the discount to A-share is larger than 10%. 


Midea Group (000333 CH):  Potential H-Share Listing Thoughts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> could raise between HK$35-54bn (US$4.5-6.9bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.</li>
<li>The H-shares could get Fast Entry to some global indices depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.</li>
<li>The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) could raise between HK$35-54bn (US$4.5-6.9bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.
The H-shares could get Fast Entry to some global indices depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.
The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.


Midea Group (000333 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

China

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

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Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

NORTHBOUND's net buy the previous week was a one-off perhaps. This week saw heavy net selling across the board. Not index-weighted.

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

J&T Global Express' IPO linked lockup expired over the weeked. The stock has been correcting over the past few weeks, especially with the CCASS...

Sumeet Singh

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Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

NORTHBOUND's net buy the previous week was a one-off perhaps. This week saw heavy net selling across the board. Not index-weighted.

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Midea Group (000333 CH): Potential H-Share Listing Thoughts

Thoughts on the potential H-share listing for Midea Group (000333 CH): could be a good pick up given the current valuation profile especially if A...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Midea Group (000333 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Midea Group could raise between HK$35-47bn in its H-shares listing. The discount vs A-shares and cornerstone/strategic allocation will be key in...

Brian Freitas

J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

J&T Global Express' IPO linked lockup expired over the weeked. The stock has been correcting over the past few weeks, especially with the CCASS...

Sumeet Singh