Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

Spruce Power Holding Corporation is an owner and operator of distributed solar energy assets. The Company provides subscription-based services for homeowners and small businesses to own and maintain rooftop solar and battery storage, as well as offers as-a-service model to access new technology without making a significant upfront investment and incurring maintenance costs.

<ul><li>Following 3Q24 results, we update our outlook for Spruce, a leading owner-operator of residential solar power purchase agreements (PPAs) and solar lease agreements (SLAs).</li><li>Spruce grows through the acquisition of mature portfolios.</li><li>Its portfolio has expanded at a 29% CAGR since 2018 and Spruce now owns the cash flow from approximately 75,000 home solar assets and contracts.</li></ul>

Following 3Q24 results, we update our outlook for Spruce, a leading owner-operator of residential solar power purchase agreements (PPAs) and solar lease agreements (SLAs).Spruce grows through the acquisition of mature portfolios.Its portfolio has expanded at a 29% CAGR since 2018 and Spruce now owns the cash flow from approximately 75,000 home solar assets and contracts.

SPRU: Adjusting Estimates Post 3Q24 Results; Acquisition an Upside Risk to Our Outlook

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


<ul>
<li>Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is one of the world’s largest developers and operators of solar and wind power.</li>
<li>The company’s assets are geographically diversified across India, with total locked-in capacity of 20.4 GW (of which 10.9 GW was operational as of June 2024).</li>
<li>AGEL is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India. </li>
</ul>


Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is one of the world’s largest developers and operators of solar and wind power.
The company’s assets are geographically diversified across India, with total locked-in capacity of 20.4 GW (of which 10.9 GW was operational as of June 2024).
AGEL is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India. 


Adani Green Energy - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates electricity from hydroelectric, thermal, geothermal, and nuclear power sources.  The Company distributes electricity to Osaka and the surrounding Kansai area.  Kansai Electric also constructs and maintains electrical power facilities.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$3.5bn via a primary offering and a sale of Treasury shares. Pricing date is between 26-29 November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> is among the better performing stocks from the Electric Utilities industry and trades at higher valuations compared to its peers.</li>
<li>There will be a fair bit of passive buying with around 29% of the offering being bought at the time of settlement of the shares.</li>
</ul>



Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) is looking to raise up to US$3.5bn via a primary offering and a sale of Treasury shares. Pricing date is between 26-29 November.

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) is among the better performing stocks from the Electric Utilities industry and trades at higher valuations compared to its peers.
There will be a fair bit of passive buying with around 29% of the offering being bought at the time of settlement of the shares.


KEPCO (9503 JP): Index Implications of US$3.5bn Primary + Secondary Offering

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kansai Electric Power / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> plans to raise up to US$3.5bn (including over-allocation) to partly fund its investment plans.</li>
<li>In our earlier note, we talked about the placement and ran the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates and share price performance since then.</li>
</ul>



Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) plans to raise up to US$3.5bn (including over-allocation) to partly fund its investment plans.
In our earlier note, we talked about the placement and ran the deal through our ECM framework.
In this note, we talk about the updates and share price performance since then.


Kansai Electric US$3.5bn Deal Updates - Has Delivered a Decent Correction, as Compared to past Deals

<ul>
<li>The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in January 2023.</li>
<li>In the near term, the US indictment is likely to constrain the group’s access to financing, particularly in the offshore market.</li>
<li>We note that the Justice Department's charges are directed at the individual executives, not at Adani Green Energy or other group entities.</li>
</ul>


The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in January 2023.
In the near term, the US indictment is likely to constrain the group’s access to financing, particularly in the offshore market.
We note that the Justice Department's charges are directed at the individual executives, not at Adani Green Energy or other group entities.


Adani Green Energy - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives

Utilities
Insights in the Utilities Space

SPRU: Adjusting Estimates Post 3Q24 Results; Acquisition an Upside Risk to Our Outlook

Following 3Q24 results, we update our outlook for Spruce, a leading owner-operator of residential solar power purchase agreements (PPAs) and solar...

Water Tower Research

Adani Green Energy - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

The company’s assets are geographically diversified across India, with total locked-in capacity of 20.4 GW (of which 10.9 GW was operational as of...

Lucror Analytics

KEPCO (9503 JP): Index Implications of US$3.5bn Primary + Secondary Offering

KEPCO is down 22.8% from the time of the announcement of the primary + secondary offering. The stock is now back to where it was at the start of...

Brian Freitas

Kansai Electric US$3.5bn Deal Updates - Has Delivered a Decent Correction, as Compared to past Deals

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) plans to raise up to US$3.5bn (including over-allocation) to partly fund its investment plans. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Adani Green Energy - Event Flash - US Charges Gautam Adani And 2 AGEL Executives

The US indictment of key executives is a material credit negative for the Adani Group, with the allegations being more serious than those from...

Lucror Analytics