Global Macro Strategist, Westbourne Research Services

Sharmila Whelan

Global Macro Strategist

Macroeconomic, Geopolitical and Policy Forecasting

Westbourne Research Services

Westbourne Research is a global macroeconomic, geopolitical and policy forecasting and strategic advisory consultancy. Located in London, UK and serving clients globally. Our knowledge is deep, spanning all asset classes and key industrial sectors. Our perspective is global. Our presence is expansive, with 30 years analysing and working in developed and emerging markets. We are uniquely India and China specialists.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Trading Post’s top buy calls are the Philippines, India, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan and Europe.</li>
<li>Trump’s ultimate objectives are to secure fairer trading terms and stimulate inward investment—and the strategy appears to be gaining traction.</li>
<li>Countries facing the highest reciprocal tariff rates, with large surpluses vis-à-vis the US and high gross exports to GDP ratios will buckle first.</li>
</ul>


Trading Post’s top buy calls are the Philippines, India, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan and Europe.
Trump’s ultimate objectives are to secure fairer trading terms and stimulate inward investment—and the strategy appears to be gaining traction.
Countries facing the highest reciprocal tariff rates, with large surpluses vis-à-vis the US and high gross exports to GDP ratios will buckle first.


Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>No country in the world will be spared damage in a trade war.</li>
<li>Both the U.S. and China have outlined positions that are little more than posturing.</li>
<li>However, a game theory analysis of the relative positions indicates that the U.S. holds a weaker hand than China.</li>
</ul>


No country in the world will be spared damage in a trade war.
Both the U.S. and China have outlined positions that are little more than posturing.
However, a game theory analysis of the relative positions indicates that the U.S. holds a weaker hand than China.


Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices dropped below $60 as OPEC+ boosted output and China retaliated with tariffs, sparking global trade and demand concerns.</li>
<li>For India, every $10/bbl fall can cut CAD by 0.5% of GDP, ease inflation by 0.3%, but risks lower fiscal revenue due to fuel tax dependence.</li>
<li>While beneficial short-term, India must prepare for volatility—by diversifying energy, insulating fiscal math, and enhancing trade resilience amidst rising geopolitical uncertainty.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices dropped below $60 as OPEC+ boosted output and China retaliated with tariffs, sparking global trade and demand concerns.
For India, every $10/bbl fall can cut CAD by 0.5% of GDP, ease inflation by 0.3%, but risks lower fiscal revenue due to fuel tax dependence.
While beneficial short-term, India must prepare for volatility—by diversifying energy, insulating fiscal math, and enhancing trade resilience amidst rising geopolitical uncertainty.


Crude Oil Below $ 60: OPEC’s Pivot, China’s Tariffs, and the New Oil Equation

<ul>
<li>Bond holders should be concerned  about Europe’s fiscal position, which is less rosy than official numbers suggest,  and the looming surge in defence spending.   Stay underweight European government bonds.</li>
<li>Europe’s urgently needs to strengthen its defences. There is some catching up to do -  Europe still spends half as much as the US’s and the gap has widened.</li>
<li>Weaning itself off US arms won’t be easy or quick. Overweight US defence stocks.</li>
</ul>


Bond holders should be concerned  about Europe’s fiscal position, which is less rosy than official numbers suggest,  and the looming surge in defence spending.   Stay underweight European government bonds.
Europe’s urgently needs to strengthen its defences. There is some catching up to do -  Europe still spends half as much as the US’s and the gap has widened.
Weaning itself off US arms won’t be easy or quick. Overweight US defence stocks.


HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

<ul>
<li>A fascinating lunch discussion with LLM engineer sparked an investigation into how AI models process information through vector spaces - revealing parallel but mechanistically different biases compared to human analysts </li>
<li>Built comprehensive framework mapping traditional financial biases against their LLM counterparts - showing how things like confirmation bias manifest differently (emotional investment vs statistical pattern reinforcement)</li>
<li>Result: Effective quant research requires understanding both human AND machine biases - can't just apply traditional risk controls to LLMs. Need tailored mitigations for how biases uniquely manifest in #AI.  </li>
</ul>


A fascinating lunch discussion with LLM engineer sparked an investigation into how AI models process information through vector spaces - revealing parallel but mechanistically different biases compared to human analysts 
Built comprehensive framework mapping traditional financial biases against their LLM counterparts - showing how things like confirmation bias manifest differently (emotional investment vs statistical pattern reinforcement)
Result: Effective quant research requires understanding both human AND machine biases - can't just apply traditional risk controls to LLMs. Need tailored mitigations for how biases uniquely manifest in #AI.  


Understanding LLM Biases in Quantitative Research: From Lunch Conversation to Framework

Ukraine
Insights on Ukraine

Trump's End Game

Trading Post identifies top buy calls in Philippines, India, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan, and Europe. Trump aims to secure fairer trading terms and...

Sharmila Whelan

A Game Theory Analysis of the Trade War

No country in the world will be spared damage in a trade war. A game theory analysis of the relative positions indicates that the U.S. holds a...

Cam Hui

Crude Oil Below $ 60: OPEC’s Pivot, China’s Tariffs, and the New Oil Equation

Crude oil price drop below $60 impacts global trade and demand; India benefits short-term but must prepare for volatility by diversifying energy...

Nimish Maheshwari

Europe Vs NATO & Trump - U/W Bonds

Investors should be wary of Europe's fiscal position and increasing defense spending. Stay underweight European government bonds and overweight...

Sharmila Whelan

Understanding LLM Biases in Quantitative Research: From Lunch Conversation to Framework

We are going to provide a full-blown update on LLMs through Q1 2025. In the meantime, we are still finding issues with 🤖 “Hallucinating on Drugs” –...

William Mann

Trump's End Game

​Trading Post identifies top buy calls in Philippines, India, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan, and Europe. Trump aims to secure fairer trading terms and...

Sharmila Whelan

A Game Theory Analysis of the Trade War

No country in the world will be spared damage in a trade war. A game theory analysis of the relative positions indicates that the U.S. holds a...

Cam Hui

Crude Oil Below $ 60: OPEC’s Pivot, China’s Tariffs, and the New Oil Equation

​Crude oil price drop below $60 impacts global trade and demand; India benefits short-term but must prepare for volatility by diversifying energy...

Nimish Maheshwari

Europe Vs NATO & Trump - U/W Bonds

​Investors should be wary of Europe's fiscal position and increasing defense spending. Stay underweight European government bonds and overweight...

Sharmila Whelan

Understanding LLM Biases in Quantitative Research: From Lunch Conversation to Framework

We are going to provide a full-blown update on LLMs through Q1 2025. In the meantime, we are still finding issues with 🤖 “Hallucinating on Drugs” –...

William Mann

Trading Post identifies top buy calls in Philippines, India, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan, and Europe. Trump aims to secure fairer trading terms and...

Crude oil price drop below $60 impacts global trade and demand; India benefits short-term but must prepare for volatility by diversifying energy...

Investors should be wary of Europe's fiscal position and increasing defense spending. Stay underweight European government bonds and overweight...