Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Event-Driven

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

<ul>
<li>There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.</li>
</ul>


There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.
The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.


TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

<ul>
<li>PC &amp; Server solutions names have fallen moderately from highs in June, however enterprise server company HPE soared 20% on AI strength.</li>
<li>Despite the market pullback from highs, we note that 2025E forward growth expectations have generally increased for the universe over the last month.</li>
<li>Latest Taiwan PC company revenues indicate healthy growth and HPE's management guided for Enterprise AI orders to accelerate.</li>
</ul>


PC &amp; Server solutions names have fallen moderately from highs in June, however enterprise server company HPE soared 20% on AI strength.
Despite the market pullback from highs, we note that 2025E forward growth expectations have generally increased for the universe over the last month.
Latest Taiwan PC company revenues indicate healthy growth and HPE's management guided for Enterprise AI orders to accelerate.


PC Monitor: Growth Expectations Have Increased Recently; HPE Signals Enterprise AI Acceleration

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%</li>
<li>UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting</li>
<li>ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%
UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting
ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call with Global Unichip (GUC); GUC is 34.8% held by TSMC and a key provider of semiconductor design services to companies aiming to manufacture with TSMC.</li>
<li>GUC's Revenue Prospects are Linked to TSMC's Growth, However the Success of Its Customers' Chips Also a Factor -- Lagged Strong Revenue Growth Likely</li>
<li>Conclusion: GUC a Second-Derivative Play on TSMC's Structural Drivers with Potential to Surprise the Market and Catch Up to TSMC's Share Performance</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call with Global Unichip (GUC); GUC is 34.8% held by TSMC and a key provider of semiconductor design services to companies aiming to manufacture with TSMC.
GUC's Revenue Prospects are Linked to TSMC's Growth, However the Success of Its Customers' Chips Also a Factor -- Lagged Strong Revenue Growth Likely
Conclusion: GUC a Second-Derivative Play on TSMC's Structural Drivers with Potential to Surprise the Market and Catch Up to TSMC's Share Performance


TechChain Insights: Call with TSMC Partner Global Unichip; Potential to Outpace TSMC Revenue Growth?

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

<ul>
<li>Delta Taiwan has outperformed Delta Taiwan recently. The parent vs. subsidiary market cap ratio is now trading consistently over 1.0x. and can go higher in our view.</li>
<li>Nvidia opportunities and other similar cutting edge technologies will first go to Delta Electronics Taiwan (2308 TT) and not to Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB).</li>
<li>Conclusion -- Expect further Delta Taiwan outperformance over the long-term vs. Delta Thailand.</li>
</ul>


Delta Taiwan has outperformed Delta Taiwan recently. The parent vs. subsidiary market cap ratio is now trading consistently over 1.0x. and can go higher in our view.
Nvidia opportunities and other similar cutting edge technologies will first go to Delta Electronics Taiwan (2308 TT) and not to Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB).
Conclusion -- Expect further Delta Taiwan outperformance over the long-term vs. Delta Thailand.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Taiwan's Nvidia Solutions Show Why TW Better Value Than Thailand