Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Banpu Public Company Limited mines for coal and other minerals. The Company produces thermal coal and coking coal, and have expertise in open-pit and underground coal mining operations, as well as coal-fired power generation.  Banpu PCL has business bases in Thailand, Laos, Indonesia, China, Australia and Mongolia.

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.
We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

Deliveroo PLC provides software solutions. The Company offers an online food delivery platform which allows users to order meals from partner restaurants, grocery stores, and other food suppliers. Deliveroo serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, we see three F100 changes and four F250 changes. Some of these index change expectations are related to the changes made to the UK Listing Rules in June 2024.</li>
<li>The final changes will be decided based on 3rd December 2024 closing prices.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
Currently, we see three F100 changes and four F250 changes. Some of these index change expectations are related to the changes made to the UK Listing Rules in June 2024.
The final changes will be decided based on 3rd December 2024 closing prices.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 24: LONGs Up 10% Vs Index in a Month; Time for New Trade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Com7 Public Company Limited operates a chain of retail outlets that imports, retails, and distributes computers and IT-related products in Thailand. The Company offers products, such as smartphones, tablets, notebooks, and computer sets. Com7 also offers computer components, such as CPUs, hard drives, and network and accessories.

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-3.6 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell between 0.3-3.1 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have continued to outperform the forecast deletes and there could be more movement in stocks with relatively high ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 4 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-3.6 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell between 0.3-3.1 days of ADV on the deletions.
The forecast adds have continued to outperform the forecast deletes and there could be more movement in stocks with relatively high ADV to trade.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Coming Up in December

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

<ul>
<li>With 4 days left to review cutoff, there is 1 close add and 3 potential deletions for the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a round-trip trade of A$243m.</li>
<li>The final list of inclusions/exclusions will depend on price movements till Friday and whether the index provider makes any significant changes to the free float of stocks in the universe.</li>
</ul>


With 4 days left to review cutoff, there is 1 close add and 3 potential deletions for the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the December rebalance.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a round-trip trade of A$243m.
The final list of inclusions/exclusions will depend on price movements till Friday and whether the index provider makes any significant changes to the free float of stocks in the universe.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: 1 Close Add & 3 Deletions

Highwealth Construction Corp. develops and sells residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent construction contractors.

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and four DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.68bn with multiple names having 5x ADV or more to trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and four DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.68bn with multiple names having 5x ADV or more to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Final Expectations; US$1.68bn One-Way; +17% Gain from Last Trade

Index Rebalance
Index Inclusion / Exclusions Analysis

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

The LONGs (expected ADDs) have outperformed the SHORTs (expected DELs) by 6.4% since 29th October 2024. It is now time to adjust this trade for the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 24: LONGs Up 10% Vs Index in a Month; Time for New Trade

The Top 10 F250 potential ADDs from the last insight have outperformed the F250 index by 10% since 24th October 2024. It might be time to revise...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Coming Up in December

There should be 4 changes to the SET50 in Dec. Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.3-3.6x ADV on the changes. The adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: 1 Close Add & 3 Deletions

There could be 1 add and 3 deletes in Dec. Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Final Expectations; US$1.68bn One-Way; +17% Gain from Last Trade

The LONG-SHORT trade suggested in our previous insight has delivered a return of 17% in less than two months. With index change expectations now...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA