US Monetary Policy After The ‘Great U-Turn’

US 10yr Yield Low and Turn Target Amid Pattern Risk

Hello The End? Why US Rates Could Fall Back to 1.5%

The Outlook for the Fed and the Bond Market in 2019

No Slowing in Core CPI In December; 2019 U.S. Inflation Outlook

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

Our macro stance touted a bearish yield scenario from 3.26% and again once below 3% with a target of 2.62% and has since been revised lower. Recent yield fade call from 2.80% targets much lower yields and will have a ripple effect globally.A fresh plunge in yield would favor rate sensitive assets and warn of a harder slow down cycle. The bond market is pounding the table that global growth will slow more dramatically than what is currently priced into market and equities.The offset is clearly a more dovish CB tone, China stimulus and closing in on sentiment capitulation.Triangulation breakout will offer a powerful trade. Yields are set for a big move.

Our macro stance touted a bearish yield scenario from 3.26% and again once below 3% with a target of 2.62% and has since been revised lower. Recent yield fade call from 2.80% targets much lower yields and will have a ripple effect globally.A fresh plunge in yield would favor rate sensitive assets and warn of a harder slow down cycle. The bond market is pounding the table that global growth will slow more dramatically than what is currently priced into market and equities.The offset is clearly a more dovish CB tone, China stimulus and closing in on sentiment capitulation.Triangulation breakout will offer a powerful trade. Yields are set for a big move.

US 10yr Triangle Geared for a Power Breakout