Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

SPX 4,100 Barrier - Next Draw Down Sets up a Better Trade

SPX 4,100 Resistance and 3,800 Tactical Buy Support

SPX Pivot Break that Will Impact the Global Cycle

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

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<li>
Bear market underway in World equities and likely to see one-third peak to trough decline</li>
<li>Trigger is US Fed QT, but US Fed is NOT about to start QT. It has already been underway since Dec 15th 2021</li>
<li>Each $100 billion of QT, costs the SPX index around 60 points. Therefore expect S&amp;P500 to test 3250, or 20% lower
</li>
</ul>



Bear market underway in World equities and likely to see one-third peak to trough decline
Trigger is US Fed QT, but US Fed is NOT about to start QT. It has already been underway since Dec 15th 2021
Each $100 billion of QT, costs the SPX index around 60 points. Therefore expect S&amp;P500 to test 3250, or 20% lower



QT Is Already Here And The 2022-23 Bear Market Is Now Well Underway