HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

China Strategy: Top 3 Ideas for the Rest of This Year

Lonking (3339 HK): Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lonking-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3944:1" rel="noopener">Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)</a>'s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  </li>
<li>Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.</li>
<li>Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. </li>
</ul>



Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)'s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 


Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability