4063 JP (Shin Etsu) - 25%+ Upside in the Pipeline

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics weekly Monday 21 March 2016Growing DM peak risk as EM’s squeeze higherOur March risk on rally is maturing with DM’s slated to peak in late March and EM’s to push higher into early April. EM perform with Europe the underperform bet on track.S&amp;P – Above 2,025 we see a push to 2,050+ where we start to probe for top signals with risk to 2,070. Transports at 8,000+ and DJI at 17,600 (USD weakness helping) are waning points for strength. Biotech, healthcare, pharma already rolling over with small caps and financials due to peak. Treasuries are bullish.Fed induced USD squeeze expected to run into April. Euro rally call into 1.14 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at/below 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish copper. CAD 1.3250 short in trouble as Brent knocks on 43-44 top zone.Asian FX adjusted to reflect a more bearish USD via KRW and INR. MYR risk of further dollar weakness to 3.95. THB and SGD closer to USD chart lows. Fed induced dollar squeeze will fade before early April. JPY strength out of triangulation leading a bigger risk off cycle.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target with the help of a weaker USD. Brazil 52-53k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with an EEM top. EEM panic buying setting up short entries.Asia longs: India, H shares, copper/energy themes. Fresh long in A shares (2823.HK). Long Korea/short Nikkei pair bet. Picked up BHP below 17 (long CNOOC and Jiangxi copper). Bullish Taiwan to 9,000 and Singapore to 2,950/+.Asia shorts: Shorted Nikkei at 17,200. Thailand short from 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short under scrutiny. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Taiwan on our short radar near 9,000.USD/JPY shorted at 113.60 and added below 112.40. This bias will bleed into the expected DM cycle peak.European banks hit the ideal 117 turn level and a key lead cycle signal. Banks and DAX are the space in Europe to short on strength near DAX 10,200 and Eurostoxx bank 117.Cycle time line: DM’s due to peak this week on after March 23-25. EM rally may stretch into early April. Oil top due while copper carries strength.Regards.--

Chartonics weekly Monday 21 March 2016Growing DM peak risk as EM’s squeeze higherOur March risk on rally is maturing with DM’s slated to peak in late March and EM’s to push higher into early April. EM perform with Europe the underperform bet on track.S&amp;P – Above 2,025 we see a push to 2,050+ where we start to probe for top signals with risk to 2,070. Transports at 8,000+ and DJI at 17,600 (USD weakness helping) are waning points for strength. Biotech, healthcare, pharma already rolling over with small caps and financials due to peak. Treasuries are bullish.Fed induced USD squeeze expected to run into April. Euro rally call into 1.14 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at/below 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish copper. CAD 1.3250 short in trouble as Brent knocks on 43-44 top zone.Asian FX adjusted to reflect a more bearish USD via KRW and INR. MYR risk of further dollar weakness to 3.95. THB and SGD closer to USD chart lows. Fed induced dollar squeeze will fade before early April. JPY strength out of triangulation leading a bigger risk off cycle.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target with the help of a weaker USD. Brazil 52-53k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with an EEM top. EEM panic buying setting up short entries.Asia longs: India, H shares, copper/energy themes. Fresh long in A shares (2823.HK). Long Korea/short Nikkei pair bet. Picked up BHP below 17 (long CNOOC and Jiangxi copper). Bullish Taiwan to 9,000 and Singapore to 2,950/+.Asia shorts: Shorted Nikkei at 17,200. Thailand short from 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short under scrutiny. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Taiwan on our short radar near 9,000.USD/JPY shorted at 113.60 and added below 112.40. This bias will bleed into the expected DM cycle peak.European banks hit the ideal 117 turn level and a key lead cycle signal. Banks and DAX are the space in Europe to short on strength near DAX 10,200 and Eurostoxx bank 117.Cycle time line: DM’s due to peak this week on after March 23-25. EM rally may stretch into early April. Oil top due while copper carries strength.Regards.--

Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO US)

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (600010 CH)

Growing DM Peak Risk as EM's Squeeze Higher

Shin Etsu Chemical

Growing DM Peak Risk as EM's Squeeze Higher