Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Being invited, I joined Sellside, i.e. JPMorgan, Nomura and Macquarie, totally around 9-10 years. Before that, I joined International Data Corp (https://www.idc.com/) to be the Asia Semiconductor analyst for nearly 2 years, and being invited to do personal lectures in TSMC, UMC, Samsung and etc. In my working experiences, I also had the chance to join Taiwanese panel company, AUO (2409.TT) and the buyside, Chinalife (2823.TT), totally for over 1 year.
I obtained MS degree from the Tsing-Hua University. Then I worked in the Taiwan Semiconductor companies for around 11 years. I had several US patents during my stay in the Semiconductor industry.

Being worked in the sellside and buyside, I deeply dived in the Greater China Semiconductor industry and directly covered some companies, like TSMC (2330.TT, TSM.US), UMC (2303.TT, UMC.US), Vanguard (5347.TT), ASE (3711.TT, ASX.US), SPIL (merged with ASE and delisted), KYEC ( 2449.TT), JCET (600584.CH), ASMPT (522.HK), GWC (6488.TT), WinSemi (3105.TT), Mediatek (2454.TT), Silergy (6415.TT), Novatek (3034.TT), Guoxin Micro (002049.CH) etc.

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): An Uncertainty Exists Whether Si Wafer Is Included in US Custom Tax or Not.

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Demand Was Weaker in 1H24F, and We Hope It Will Be Better in 2H24F.

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In general, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalwafers-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17916:1" rel="noopener">Globalwafers (6488 TT)'</a> 3Q24 revenue, GM, OPM, and prepayment are hitting a recent low in 2024.</li>
<li>GlobalWafers stated that the semiconductor industry is generally recovering for AI, but we do not think that AI can represent the entire semiconductor industry.  </li>
<li>Demand for advanced sub-3nm nodes and AI technologies is expected to increase, which will drive fab utilization.</li>
</ul>


In general, Globalwafers (6488 TT)' 3Q24 revenue, GM, OPM, and prepayment are hitting a recent low in 2024.
GlobalWafers stated that the semiconductor industry is generally recovering for AI, but we do not think that AI can represent the entire semiconductor industry.  
Demand for advanced sub-3nm nodes and AI technologies is expected to increase, which will drive fab utilization.


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): The Recovery Expectation Has Been Delayed from 2H24 to 2025.