Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Trend Analysis

EQD | SPX MONTHLY Proxy Supports for APAC Markets

APAC WEEKLY Monitor: Current MRM Supports and Probabilities Re-Cap

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY: Time to Go LONG?

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.
</li>
<li>The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).</li>
<li>
Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.

The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).

Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY: Rising After a Brief Pullback