bullish

ECM Weekly (4th July 2021) - Xpeng, Medbot, Medlive, Brii Bio, CTOS, LinkDoc, Devyani, Manycore

456 Views04 Jul 2021 10:21
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.


We still have a few more trading debuts next week Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK) will trade on Monday, Chaoju Eye Care Holdings (2219 HK) and Xpeng (XPEV US) HK on Wednesday, and Keymed Biosciences Inc (2162 HK) on Thursday.

But, new Hong Kong IPO filings was all the rage this week because 30th June was the last day for applicants with audited financials as of December 31, 2020 to file. There were 29 filings this week with 15 done on 30th June alone.

Notable filings include AIM Vaccine (US$1bn), the largest privately owned vaccine company in China, APM Monaco (US$500m), a popular fashion jewelry company backed by TPG, Adicon (US$400m), a Carlyle-backed laboratory services provider in China, and Arrail Group (~US$200m), Temasek-backed dental service provider in China.

For live/ongoing IPOs, in Hong Kong, biotech/healthcare deals are running hot. Medlive Technology (2192 HK) is looking to raise up to US$543m with Tencent, Fidelity, GIC, OrbiMed among its cornerstone investor line-up. Particularly, Tencent's participation could be game-changing. The company will price this coming Wednesday and debut on 15th July.

Brii Biosciences (2137 HK) opened books to raise up to US$320m. We think valuation is reasonable and the cornerstone line-up is strong. The company will price this coming Tuesday and debut on 13th July.

Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK) is looking to raise US$285m. The company also boasts a few reputable institutional investors as cornerstone but we think the company is fairly valued and competition is tough. The company will price this coming Thursday and debut on 16th July.

In Malaysia, CTOS Digital (1054055D MK) launched its bookbuild to raise up to US$291mb, bumped up from the initial US$150m deal size owing to strong demand. The company boasts a long line of reputable investors as cornerstone. We heard books were covered at launch and closed on Friday, well ahead of its 6th July target. The company will debut on 19th July.

Lastly, in the U.S, LinkDoc (LDOC US) launched its US$211m bookbuild which was still well above our initial valuation exercise. IPO valuation puts it 92% higher than its Series D valuation which was completed in February 2021. The company will debut on 9th July.

For new initiations and ongoing coverage,in Hong Kong, we initiated on Transcenta Holding (THL HK), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company backed by Temasek and Hillhouse among pre-IPO investors. The company was said to be pre-marketing its US$200m IPO.

Acotec Scientific Holdings (ASH HK) is also pre-marketing its US$300m. The company is a leading peripheral-vascular interventional device company in China with an early mover advantage.

We also initiated on MicroPort Medbot, a surgical robot company. The company is looking to raise about US$1bn but it is in pre-revenue stage and there is strong competition coupled with low penetration of robot-assisted surgeries in China

We continued our coverage on EBeauty Holdings (1894926D HK) which had filed its PHIP documents late June and was said to be looking to raise about US$500m. Peer comparison showed worrying underlying trends despite its high profit margins.

In India, we initiated on Devyani International (6590204Z IN), Yum Brand’s largest franchisor in India, which is looking to raise about US$200m. There are lots to like about the company. However, unlike Burger King India, it isn't the sole franchisor for Yum in India.

In the U.S, we looked at the newly filed Manycore Tech (KOOL US), which was world’s largest platform for 3D interior design, decoration and construction, as per iResearch. The company is looking to raise at least US$100m and is backed by IDG, GGV and Hillhouse.

Halting/deferring IPOs seem to be more common than before in the U.S. Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)'s IPO was halted but not pulled, according to Chinese news sources. But we haven't heard guidance on when it will debut.

Overall, China ADR ECM situation is in an awkward place. Full Truck Alliance (YMM US), despite its strong debut, collapsed through IPO price a week later and it is back to IPO price on Friday. DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US) opened strong, pared its gains by the end of its debut but is still holding up. But on Friday there were news reports that Didi is under investigation and has stopped new account registration. Then, there was Missfresh (MF US)'s rush to IPO which led to disastrous first week performance but Dingdong Maicai (DDL US) managed to do well due to its downsized IPO but liquidity was abysmal.

For placements this week, in Korea, STIC sold its remaining stake in HYBE (352820 KS) which has managed to hold up well for the week. In Japan, GLP J-REIT (3281 JP) is looking to raise US$230m to acquire four assets.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 74.1% for IPOs and 67.6% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings this week

  • Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. (Hong Kong, US$1.4bn)
  • AIM Vaccine Co., Ltd. (Hong Kong, US$1bn)
  • Lingyi iTech (Guangdong) Company (Hong Kong, US$900m)
  • APM Monaco Limited (Hong Kong, US$500m)
  • Horizon Construction Development Limited (Hong Kong, US$500m)
  • ADICON Holdings Limited (Hong Kong, US$400m)
  • CANbridge Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Hong Kong, US$250m)
  • Hangzhou SF Intra-City Industrial Co., Ltd. (Hong Kong, US$200m)
  • 3D Medicines Inc (Hong Kong, US$200m)
  • Arrail Group Limited (Hong Kong, US$200m)
  • Telford International Holdings Limited (Hong Kong, >US$100m)
  • Shanghai Ark Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (Hong Kong, >US$100m)

News on Upcoming IPOs

Hong Kong/China

US/China ADRs

India

Others

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
Anjuke

Anjuke Pre-IPO - Mixed (Positive and Negative) Developments

Betta Pharma

Betta Pharma (贝达医药) A+H: Tier 2 Player Struggled to Break Out

Broncus

Broncus (堃博医疗) Pre-IPO: Big Potential to Be Tested

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H?

ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and First Stab at Valuation

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Lagging in Scale, Leading in Profitability

Edding Grp

Edding Group (亿腾医药) Pre-IPO: Notes from Latest Financials and Its Related Party

Edding Grp

Edding Group (亿腾医药) Pre-IPO: Notes from Latest Financials and Its Related Party

Hanyu

Shanghai Hanyu (捍宇医疗) Pre-IPO: Not a Straight-A but Listing at Right Time

Intco Med

Intco Medical (英科医疗) A+H: From China No.1 to Global No. 1

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained

Novotech

Novotech Pre-IPO: Biotech Focused CRO at Hefty Pre-IPO Valuation

RemeGenRemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48
SH Bio-heartShanghai Bio-Heart (上海百心安) Pre-IPO: Needs a Long Runway
ToplistToplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives
TaslyTasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor
WeDoctorWe Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Picking Its Battles Wisely
WeDoctorWe Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Early Thoughts on Valuation, and Acquisition Gripes
WeilongWeilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Strong Backers
WeilongWeilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Spicy Valuation
WM TechWM Tech Pre-IPO - Digitalization Efforts Coming Through but Not Well Substantiated
India
Aadhar HousingAadhar Housing Finance Pre-IPO - Decent past Growth but Comes with Weird Disclosures
ASKASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
ESAF SFBESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
Emami CemEmami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some

LIC

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO
Penna CemPenna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Samhi HotelsSamhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace
ZomatoZomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps
ZomatoZomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S.
ForUForU Worldwide Pre-IPO - Mostly Negatives
QiniuQiniu Cloud (七牛云) Pre-IPO: PaaS Doesn't Warrant a Premium
XimalayaXimalaya Pre-IPO - The Positives - A Whole Lot of Listening
XimalayaXimalaya Pre-IPO - The Negatives
XimalayaXimalaya Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison
XimalayaXimalaya Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation
XimalayaXimalaya (XIMA): Has Large Market Share, But Small Competitors Have Big Bosses.
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