Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst with experience in fundamental and event-driven research in Frontier and Emerging markets. 

On Smartkarma, I mainly publish insights on index flow events in the Asia-Pacific region. This includes predicting regular and intra-review index changes and estimating upcoming passive flows. I also cover special situations such as mergers & acquisitions, equity offerings, buybacks, and other corporate restructuring events.

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Historical Post-Offering Performance Does Not Look Good At All

JREIT Offering: CRE Logistics REIT (3487 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)

J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021

Activia Properties (3279 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Daiwa House REIT Investment (8984 JP): Expect A Correction Before Pricing Date

JREIT Offering: Aeon REIT (3292 JP) - Take It Vs Comps

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<p>On 4th January 2021, Small-cap logistics JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cre-logistics-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26745:1" rel="noopener">CRE Logistics REIT (3487 JP)</a> (<strong>"CRE"</strong>) announced a follow-on equity offering to fund their acquisition of three logistics properties. As discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jreit-offering-cre-logistics-reit-3487-jp-take-it-vs-comps" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46779" rel="noopener">JREIT Offering: CRE Logistics REIT (3487 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)</a>, I advised being LONG vs comps from the Pricing Date (13th January 2021) and since then CRE logistics has gained +44.6%, outperforming its comps and the overall JREIT market by +9.1% and +18.7% respectively. </p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/227/501/original/Last+Offering+Performance.png?1630569996" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="227501"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Quiddity [Data: Capital IQ]</div></section><p>Today after market close, CRE launched another follow-on equity offering. </p><p>This time, the total offer quantity will be 64,550 units and that means the total offer size would be around ¥13bn (~US$120mn) which is slightly larger than last time (~US$106mn) but still quite small in comparison to some of the other recent JREIT offerings. However, historically such follow-on equity offerings have acted as catalysts for strong secondary market performance in the weeks following the Pricing Date and in this insight, we will take a look at whether CRE has the potential to perform as well as it did last time. </p><p><em>More below the fold.</em> </p><hr><p><em>For a primer on J-REIT Offerings, their history, their patterns, etc, please refer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a>.</em></p>

On 4th January 2021, Small-cap logistics JREIT CRE Logistics REIT (3487 JP) ("CRE") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund their acquisition of three logistics properties. As discussed in JREIT Offering: CRE Logistics REIT (3487 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps), I advised being LONG vs comps from the Pricing Date (13th January 2021) and since then CRE logistics has gained +44.6%, outperforming its comps and the overall JREIT market by +9.1% and +18.7% respectively. Source: Quiddity [Data: Capital IQ]Today after market close, CRE launched another follow-on equity offering. This time, the total offer quantity will be 64,550 units and that means the total offer size would be around ¥13bn (~US$120mn) which is slightly larger than last time (~US$106mn) but still quite small in comparison to some of the other recent JREIT offerings. However, historically such follow-on equity offerings have acted as catalysts for strong secondary market performance in the weeks following the Pricing Date and in this insight, we will take a look at whether CRE has the potential to perform as well as it did last time. More below the fold. For a primer on J-REIT Offerings, their history, their patterns, etc, please refer to J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021.

CRE Logistics (3487 JP): Can They Do Better Than Last Time?