Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

StubWorld: Naspers/Tencent - And Another Three Years

Tencent (700 HK): Raises Subscription Fees for Online TV

Be Careful What You Wish For - Naspers To Sell up to US$10bn in Tencent

Tencent Placement - Huge Deal in Size, Small in Relative Terms - Succumbing to the HoldCo Discount

Tencent and Ping An Levels and Adjustments

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Three years ago on 22 March 2018, after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> reported full year earnings for the year to December 2017, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> launched a sale of shares in Tencent of about 2.0% of shares out, lowering their stake and raising cash which was supposed to be used to buy more e-commerce assets, with the lofty but separately-stated goal being to "balance the portfolio" over the coming years. 
At the time, Naspers was trading at a 40% discount - a level with which Naspers management was clearly unhappy - and Tencent was roughly 91% of Naspers NAV. 
At the time, apparently wary of signalling more pressure on Tencent shares from potential future sales, Naspers promised it would not sell any more Tencent shares for three years. 
But that set up the likelihood of a sale after Tencent reported earnings in March 2021, this time by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> which inherited the listed equity positions from Naspers in a dropdown spinoff 18 months ago.
Then that sale did not arrive. 
There were, of course, ructions in the market that same week as Family Office Archegos Capital Management ran into a spot of difficulty and both it and its financiers had to sell (in a hurry) tens of billions of dollars of concentrated positions - many in the category of Chinese stocks listed outside of mainland China. It was clearly not the best time to sell a large block, so it appears Naspers/Prosus waited. 
Today, Prosus <a href="https://www.prosus.com/news/accelerated-offering-of-tencent-shares-by-prosus-nv/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an accelerated offering of Tencent shares - again selling 2.0% of shares out, dropping their position from 30.9% to 28.9% of shares outstanding, at an indicated 5.5-8.7% discount to last close - a price range of HK$575-595/share. Again Prosus has locked themselves up for longer than normal.
<blockquote>
Prosus has committed not to sell any further Tencent shares for at least the next three years, in line with its long-term belief in the potential of the business. 
</blockquote>
This leaves one with the question... what next?

Three years ago on 22 March 2018, after Tencent Holdings (700 HK) reported full year earnings for the year to December 2017, Naspers (NPN SJ) launched a sale of shares in Tencent of about 2.0% of shares out, lowering their stake and raising cash which was supposed to be used to buy more e-commerce assets, with the lofty but separately-stated goal being to "balance the portfolio" over the coming years. 
At the time, Naspers was trading at a 40% discount - a level with which Naspers management was clearly unhappy - and Tencent was roughly 91% of Naspers NAV. 
At the time, apparently wary of signalling more pressure on Tencent shares from potential future sales, Naspers promised it would not sell any more Tencent shares for three years. 
But that set up the likelihood of a sale after Tencent reported earnings in March 2021, this time by Prosus (PRX NA) which inherited the listed equity positions from Naspers in a dropdown spinoff 18 months ago.
Then that sale did not arrive. 
There were, of course, ructions in the market that same week as Family Office Archegos Capital Management ran into a spot of difficulty and both it and its financiers had to sell (in a hurry) tens of billions of dollars of concentrated positions - many in the category of Chinese stocks listed outside of mainland China. It was clearly not the best time to sell a large block, so it appears Naspers/Prosus waited. 
Today, Prosus announced an accelerated offering of Tencent shares - again selling 2.0% of shares out, dropping their position from 30.9% to 28.9% of shares outstanding, at an indicated 5.5-8.7% discount to last close - a price range of HK$575-595/share. Again Prosus has locked themselves up for longer than normal.

Prosus has committed not to sell any further Tencent shares for at least the next three years, in line with its long-term belief in the potential of the business. 

This leaves one with the question... what next?

Be Careful What You Wish For REDUX - Prosus Selling US$15bn in Tencent

Prosus NV

Be Careful What You Wish For REDUX - Prosus Selling US$15bn in Tencent