Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Former Head of Asia ex-Japan Semiconductor and TFT-LCD/Touch Research at Barclays and Citi Bank, Former Head of Technology at 國金證券

Thoughts on Amazon –What Does Its Valuation Tells Us?

Netflix & Amazon Expand in Korea – Not a Coincidence

Okja: The Fight Between Netflix Vs. CJ CGV

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21591" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21591:1">Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW GR)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16764" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> , and Mobileye announced new self-driving car to launch by 2021 together with multiple road tests of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11369" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1">Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)</a> self-driving car, we estimate semiconductor usage for automotive industry will grow substantially for next few years and outpace semiconductor usage growth for PC, notebook, tablet, and smartphone and outpace semiconductor market size for AR/VR, internet of Things, and robotics. Due to a paradigm shift of automotive industry from gasoline car to electronic car and self-driving car, we estimate semiconductor value per car will exceed US$500 by 2020-2025 (from US$315 in 2012 and US$385 in 2017) by accounting 20-30% of global logic semiconductor market. In net, we see three structural changes like automotive industry consolidation is coming on rising R&amp;D, new semiconductor vendors are emerging, and value per car rising at 5-6% CAGR for next 5-10 years in automotive industry.

Post Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW GR), Intel Corp (INTC US) , and Mobileye announced new self-driving car to launch by 2021 together with multiple road tests of Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US) self-driving car, we estimate semiconductor usage for automotive industry will grow substantially for next few years and outpace semiconductor usage growth for PC, notebook, tablet, and smartphone and outpace semiconductor market size for AR/VR, internet of Things, and robotics. Due to a paradigm shift of automotive industry from gasoline car to electronic car and self-driving car, we estimate semiconductor value per car will exceed US$500 by 2020-2025 (from US$315 in 2012 and US$385 in 2017) by accounting 20-30% of global logic semiconductor market. In net, we see three structural changes like automotive industry consolidation is coming on rising R&amp;D, new semiconductor vendors are emerging, and value per car rising at 5-6% CAGR for next 5-10 years in automotive industry.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (601727 CH)

China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

China Communications Construction (1800 HK)

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)

Telefonaktiebolaget Lm Ericsso (ERICB SS)

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Andrew on Tech: Automotive Semis the Next Wave