Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>December: strong volume growth, but worsening price declines for STO, Yunda</li>
<li>Recent trends in X-border parcel volume growth &amp; pricing moderated in December</li>
<li>In 2024, look for SF to continue its outpeformance; STO, Yunda should still lag</li>
</ul>


December: strong volume growth, but worsening price declines for STO, Yunda
Recent trends in X-border parcel volume growth &amp; pricing moderated in December
In 2024, look for SF to continue its outpeformance; STO, Yunda should still lag


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>300274 SZ: Sungrow preannounced full-year profit to exceed expectations (+)</li>
<li>LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto's deliveries rose in the third week of January, ranking first among new forces, but still lower than expected (-)</li>
<li>BEKE: Chongqing raised the levy standard of property tax (+)</li>
</ul>


300274 SZ: Sungrow preannounced full-year profit to exceed expectations (+)
LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto's deliveries rose in the third week of January, ranking first among new forces, but still lower than expected (-)
BEKE: Chongqing raised the levy standard of property tax (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: ATAT/HTHT/TCOM/300750CH/1211HK/835185CH/ 600516CH/LI/NIO/XPEV/BEKE/ZTO

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)</li>
<li>PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)</li>
</ul>


TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)
PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)
PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

<ul>
<li>Plummeting ASPs likely pushed STO and Yunda OpInc margins below 0% in Q423</li>
<li>The companies' operating cash flow may be insufficient to fund needed capex</li>
<li>Reduced investment could lead to slower growth, consolidation pressure in '24</li>
</ul>


Plummeting ASPs likely pushed STO and Yunda OpInc margins below 0% in Q423
The companies' operating cash flow may be insufficient to fund needed capex
Reduced investment could lead to slower growth, consolidation pressure in '24


STO & Yunda May Report Operating Losses in Q423, Hampering Their Ability to Invest & Grow in '24

<ul>
<li>BABA/ZTO/JD/PDD/1519 HK: Taobao/Tmall plans to direct traffic to stores and logistics providers with better service (+/+/-/-/-)</li>
<li>1219 HK/PDD/SHEIN/BABA: Temu negotiating with J&amp;T for cooperation in overseas last-mile services (+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou's Playlet Business Expanding Rapidly, DAU Reaches 270 Million(+)</li>
</ul>


BABA/ZTO/JD/PDD/1519 HK: Taobao/Tmall plans to direct traffic to stores and logistics providers with better service (+/+/-/-/-)
1219 HK/PDD/SHEIN/BABA: Temu negotiating with J&amp;T for cooperation in overseas last-mile services (+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou's Playlet Business Expanding Rapidly, DAU Reaches 270 Million(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/ZTO/JD/PDD/1519 HK/1219 HK/1024 HK

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)

Industry volume growth remains firm, but price pressure on domestic 'sort and transport' companies continued to increase in December. We expect SF...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]: ATAT/HTHT/TCOM/300750CH/1211HK/835185CH/ 600516CH/LI/NIO/XPEV/BEKE/ZTO

Sungrow's full-year profit exceeds expectations; Li Auto's deliveries improve but fall short; Chongqing raises property tax levy standard.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

STO & Yunda May Report Operating Losses in Q423, Hampering Their Ability to Invest & Grow in '24

Plummeting prices and already-low profitability could force second-tier Chinese express names STO and Yunda to be part of industry consolidation in...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/ZTO/JD/PDD/1519 HK/1219 HK/1024 HK

Tmall aims to improve service for stores and logistics providers;Temu negotiates with J&T for overseas last-mile services;Kuaishou's Playlet...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volumes Remain Firm | Domestic Pricing Worsens (January 2024)

Industry volume growth remains firm, but price pressure on domestic 'sort and transport' companies continued to increase in December. We expect SF...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]: ATAT/HTHT/TCOM/300750CH/1211HK/835185CH/ 600516CH/LI/NIO/XPEV/BEKE/ZTO

​Sungrow's full-year profit exceeds expectations; Li Auto's deliveries improve but fall short; Chongqing raises property tax levy standard.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

​Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

STO & Yunda May Report Operating Losses in Q423, Hampering Their Ability to Invest & Grow in '24

Plummeting prices and already-low profitability could force second-tier Chinese express names STO and Yunda to be part of industry consolidation in...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/ZTO/JD/PDD/1519 HK/1219 HK/1024 HK

Tmall aims to improve service for stores and logistics providers;Temu negotiates with J&T for overseas last-mile services;Kuaishou's Playlet...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Sungrow's full-year profit exceeds expectations; Li Auto's deliveries improve but fall short; Chongqing raises property tax levy standard.

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...