Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.</li>
<li>The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hong-kong-the-glass-is-half-full-time-to-buy-beta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:134396" rel="noopener">Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta</a> .</li>
<li>The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.</li>
</ul>


Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.
The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta .
The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)</li>
<li>BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)</li>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)
BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)
PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more</li>
<li>In July &amp; August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated</li>
<li>We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion</li>
</ul>


August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more
In July &amp; August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated
We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:Travel Volume During Mid-Autumn Holiday Slightly Increased Compared to 2019(+/+)</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +28% yoy in prior week (+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV US/LI US:Xpeng is rumored to launch an extended-range PHEV SUV next year.(///)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US:Travel Volume During Mid-Autumn Holiday Slightly Increased Compared to 2019(+/+)
1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +28% yoy in prior week (+/+)
XPEV US/LI US:Xpeng is rumored to launch an extended-range PHEV SUV next year.(///)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

<ul>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: iPhone 16 sees negative initial reception in China (-/+/+)</li>
<li>981 HK: SenseTime announces 54,000 GPU cluster, likely supplied by Huawei (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: Tesla officially announced that it will launch FSD in China in the first quarter of 2025.(///////)</li>
</ul>


AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: iPhone 16 sees negative initial reception in China (-/+/+)
981 HK: SenseTime announces 54,000 GPU cluster, likely supplied by Huawei (+)
1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: Tesla officially announced that it will launch FSD in China in the first quarter of 2025.(///////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

Heavy price pressure from 2023 and the first half of 2024 has eased, which is positive for margins at all of the listed Chinese express companies....

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

​NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

Heavy price pressure from 2023 and the first half of 2024 has eased, which is positive for margins at all of the listed Chinese express companies....

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

​Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

​Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...

Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.