Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ZaiLab's (ZLAB) share price rallied 15% on promising data from the Phase I trial of its DLL3 ADC licensed from Chinese startup MediLink. The data is positive but still early;</li>
<li>Besides being early, competitions in DLL3 ADC, B7H3 ADC and DLL3/CD3 BsAb are all fierce, with much bigger rivals at much advanced clinical stages. Thus ZLAB faces an execution challenge;</li>
<li>ZLAB's sourcing from domestic biotech is a major step forward that can fundamentally alter its business model. But to confirm the validity of this transition still needs more evidence.</li>
</ul>


ZaiLab's (ZLAB) share price rallied 15% on promising data from the Phase I trial of its DLL3 ADC licensed from Chinese startup MediLink. The data is positive but still early;
Besides being early, competitions in DLL3 ADC, B7H3 ADC and DLL3/CD3 BsAb are all fierce, with much bigger rivals at much advanced clinical stages. Thus ZLAB faces an execution challenge;
ZLAB's sourcing from domestic biotech is a major step forward that can fundamentally alter its business model. But to confirm the validity of this transition still needs more evidence.


ZaiLab's DLL3 ADC Is a Major Positive, but the Market Over-Reacted to Its Prospects

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The PCAOB has not, despite a cooperation agreement with the CSRC signed in 2013, been able to conduct on-site investigations of a HK or mainland-based company since 2010.</li>
<li>On Friday, the CSRC published a new Strengthening Confidentiality and File Management Related to Overseas Issuance to replace 2009 rules. </li>
<li>Importantly, the revised Provisions deletes the stipulation that “on-site inspections shall be dominated by domestic regulators or depend on the conclusions of inspections by domestic regulators.” Will it be enough?</li>
</ul>


The PCAOB has not, despite a cooperation agreement with the CSRC signed in 2013, been able to conduct on-site investigations of a HK or mainland-based company since 2010.
On Friday, the CSRC published a new Strengthening Confidentiality and File Management Related to Overseas Issuance to replace 2009 rules. 
Importantly, the revised Provisions deletes the stipulation that “on-site inspections shall be dominated by domestic regulators or depend on the conclusions of inspections by domestic regulators.” Will it be enough?


New CSRC "Provisions" Take a Step Towards Meeting PCAOB Requirements

<ul>
<li>Local news reported two positive developments for Zai Lab’s FcRn inhibitor Efgartigimod: (1) Rival CSPC/HarbourBio withdrew BLA for competing drug Batoclimab (HBM9161), (2) Efgartigimod was included in 2024 NDRL;</li>
<li>We raise Zai Lab’s 2024 top line by 8.8% but keep non-GAAP operating loss largely unchanged；</li>
<li>We raise TP by US$2 to US$20 and maintain SELL.</li>
</ul>


Local news reported two positive developments for Zai Lab’s FcRn inhibitor Efgartigimod: (1) Rival CSPC/HarbourBio withdrew BLA for competing drug Batoclimab (HBM9161), (2) Efgartigimod was included in 2024 NDRL;
We raise Zai Lab’s 2024 top line by 8.8% but keep non-GAAP operating loss largely unchanged；
We raise TP by US$2 to US$20 and maintain SELL.


[Zai LAB (ZLAB US, SELL, TP US$20) TP Change]: Two Positive News Drove up 2024 Growth Target

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, SGMO got an even faster FDA path for Fabry gene therapy, VKTX built more anticipation for upcoming oral <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">GLP-1 data, and ITRM crossed the antibiotic finish line at last. </span></li><li>AMGN showed at-risk confidence with a favorable court ruling versus REGN, VRTX pain data was as expected, NVO’s oral GLP- 1 in diabetes also benefited CVD, and ZLAB was lifted by niche lung cancer data. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, SGMO got an even faster FDA path for Fabry gene therapy, VKTX built more anticipation for upcoming oral GLP-1 data, and ITRM crossed the antibiotic finish line at last. AMGN showed at-risk confidence with a favorable court ruling versus REGN, VRTX pain data was as expected, NVO’s oral GLP- 1 in diabetes also benefited CVD, and ZLAB was lifted by niche lung cancer data. 

Biopharma Week in Review - October 28, 2024

China

Zai Lab Limited operates as a bio-pharmaceutical company. The Company researches and develops therapeutic technology for antibody-based oncology, autoimmune, and infectious diseases treatments. Zai Lab also manufactures drugs in the form of capsules, injections, and liquids. Zai Lab serves patients worldwide.

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Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US)

ZaiLab's DLL3 ADC Is a Major Positive, but the Market Over-Reacted to Its Prospects

ZaiLab surged 15% on positive Ph I data for its DLL3 ADC from MediLink, but faces tough competition and execution challenges. Transition to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

New CSRC "Provisions" Take a Step Towards Meeting PCAOB Requirements

CSRC has published new Provisions putting the onus of info management on companies, making it easier for the PCAOB to conduct on-site audits. It...

Travis Lundy

[Zai LAB (ZLAB US, SELL, TP US$20) TP Change]: Two Positive News Drove up 2024 Growth Target

Positive news for Zai Lab's Efgartigimod as rival drug is withdrawn and it is included in 2024 NDRL, leading to an 8.8% increase in top line but...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Biopharma Week in Review - October 28, 2024

Last week, SGMO got an even faster FDA path for Fabry gene therapy, VKTX built more anticipation for upcoming oral GLP-1 data, and ITRM crossed the...

Water Tower Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ZaiLab's DLL3 ADC Is a Major Positive, but the Market Over-Reacted to Its Prospects

​ZaiLab surged 15% on positive Ph I data for its DLL3 ADC from MediLink, but faces tough competition and execution challenges. Transition to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

New CSRC "Provisions" Take a Step Towards Meeting PCAOB Requirements

CSRC has published new Provisions putting the onus of info management on companies, making it easier for the PCAOB to conduct on-site audits. It...

Travis Lundy

[Zai LAB (ZLAB US, SELL, TP US$20) TP Change]: Two Positive News Drove up 2024 Growth Target

​Positive news for Zai Lab's Efgartigimod as rival drug is withdrawn and it is included in 2024 NDRL, leading to an 8.8% increase in top line but...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Biopharma Week in Review - October 28, 2024

Last week, SGMO got an even faster FDA path for Fabry gene therapy, VKTX built more anticipation for upcoming oral GLP-1 data, and ITRM crossed the...

Water Tower Research

ZaiLab surged 15% on positive Ph I data for its DLL3 ADC from MediLink, but faces tough competition and execution challenges. Transition to...

Positive news for Zai Lab's Efgartigimod as rival drug is withdrawn and it is included in 2024 NDRL, leading to an 8.8% increase in top line but...