External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.</li><li>In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.</li><li>When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene has priced its IPO at HK$24.30 per share, at the lower end of the company’s indicative IPO price range of HK$24.3-27.7 per share and raised HK$495.8m (US$63.2m).</li>
<li>The HK offering was oversubscribed by only 2.08 times while the international offering was subscribed by 4.22 times.</li>
<li>Though Biogene’s IPO was priced attractively, we think lower demand for the company’s shares led to pricing at the bottom of the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene has priced its IPO at HK$24.30 per share, at the lower end of the company’s indicative IPO price range of HK$24.3-27.7 per share and raised HK$495.8m (US$63.2m).
The HK offering was oversubscribed by only 2.08 times while the international offering was subscribed by 4.22 times.
Though Biogene’s IPO was priced attractively, we think lower demand for the company’s shares led to pricing at the bottom of the IPO price range.


Giant Biogene: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene (GB) raised around US$70m by pricing its  HK IPO at the low-end.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene (GB) raised around US$70m by pricing its  HK IPO at the low-end.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Giant Biogene IPO Trading - Demand Was Relatively Better but Still Weak

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Although the recombinant collagen with relatively low price is “subversive” in the preparation process, animal-derived collagen is still more widely used, covering larger markets with various products. </li>
<li>Either for business diversification or to avoid policy risks, how to explore the second growth point is important to Giant Biogene.Otherwise,the Company's hard to improve the resilience to market/policy changes.</li>
<li>Bloomage would have higher valuation expansion potential than Giant Biogene in mid- to long-term. In other words, if the valuation of Giant Biogene is higher than Bloomage, there’s overvaluation risk.</li>
</ul>


Although the recombinant collagen with relatively low price is “subversive” in the preparation process, animal-derived collagen is still more widely used, covering larger markets with various products. 
Either for business diversification or to avoid policy risks, how to explore the second growth point is important to Giant Biogene.Otherwise,the Company's hard to improve the resilience to market/policy changes.
Bloomage would have higher valuation expansion potential than Giant Biogene in mid- to long-term. In other words, if the valuation of Giant Biogene is higher than Bloomage, there’s overvaluation risk.


Pre-IPO Giant Biogene (2367 HK) - Some Unstable Factors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> designs, develops and manufactures professional skin treatment products with recombinant collagen as the key bioactive ingredient in China.</li>
<li>The company’s IPO offering has been downsized and now plans to raise approx. US$80m through issuing 22.6m shares at an indicative IPO price range of HK$24.3-27.7 per share.</li>
<li>Our analysis shows that Giant Biogene’s IPO is attractively priced compared to domestic and international peers, however, we expect the upside to be limited given the current market volatility.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) designs, develops and manufactures professional skin treatment products with recombinant collagen as the key bioactive ingredient in China.
The company’s IPO offering has been downsized and now plans to raise approx. US$80m through issuing 22.6m shares at an indicative IPO price range of HK$24.3-27.7 per share.
Our analysis shows that Giant Biogene’s IPO is attractively priced compared to domestic and international peers, however, we expect the upside to be limited given the current market volatility.


Giant Biogene IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

China

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group Co. LTD manufactures and sells skin care and cosmetics. The Company produces masks, toners, hand creams, and other cosmetics. Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group also develops new biology technologies.

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology (300957 CH)

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Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology (300957 CH)

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below...

CMB International

Giant Biogene: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Biogene priced its IPO at the bottom of the range due to lower demand as current market volatility has resulted in lower investor appetite. IPO is...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Giant Biogene IPO Trading - Demand Was Relatively Better but Still Weak

Giant Biogene (GB) raised around US$70m by pricing its HK IPO at the low-end. In this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Giant Biogene (2367 HK) - Some Unstable Factors

Giant Biogene's marketing-driven development will lead to low margins. It takes time for recombinant collagen to replace animal-derived collagen....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Giant Biogene IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Though Biogene's offer is significantly downsized, the IPO is priced attractively compared to doemstic and international peers. We expect limited...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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52-week Range

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