Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the recovery of China consumption is "not yet solid", but not faltering.</li>
<li>China catering sector's recovery stays on track, although Q2 has historically been a low season.</li>
<li>Long Xiabuxiabu and short Jiumaojiu to play the sector's recovery while hedging against potential macro weakness.</li>
</ul>


We believe the recovery of China consumption is "not yet solid", but not faltering.
China catering sector's recovery stays on track, although Q2 has historically been a low season.
Long Xiabuxiabu and short Jiumaojiu to play the sector's recovery while hedging against potential macro weakness.


China Catering Sector: Long Xiabuxiabu / Short Jiumaojiu

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Q1 2023, 86 different Hong Kong-listed companies bought back shares either locally or on foreign exchanges. Total buybacks were HK$22.856bn.</li>
<li>8 Companies made up 90% of the total. On average, they bought back shares 4 days out of every 10 within the quarter. </li>
<li>A lot of the smaller companies doing buybacks were significant portions of their volume.</li>
</ul>


In Q1 2023, 86 different Hong Kong-listed companies bought back shares either locally or on foreign exchanges. Total buybacks were HK$22.856bn.
8 Companies made up 90% of the total. On average, they bought back shares 4 days out of every 10 within the quarter. 
A lot of the smaller companies doing buybacks were significant portions of their volume.


HK Buybacks Q1 2023: 8 Names Are 90% of the Total - AIA, Tencent, StanChart, Greatwall the Big 4

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dpc-dash-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36556:1" rel="noopener">DPC Dash (1405 HK)</a> raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. </li>
<li>The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 604 stores across 17 cities, as of Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



DPC Dash (1405 HK) raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. 
The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 604 stores across 17 cities, as of Feb 2023.
In this note, we talk about the subscription levels and trading dynamics.


DPC Dash IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Even as Capital Group Tops Up

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.</li>
<li>We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).</li>
<li>If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.
We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).
If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.


MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

China

Yum China Holdings, Inc. operates chain restaurants. The Company offers pizza, entrees, pasta, rice dishes, appetizers, soups, vegetables, beverages, and desserts. Yum China Holding conducts its business worldwide.

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Yum China Holdings (YUMC US)

China Catering Sector: Long Xiabuxiabu / Short Jiumaojiu

The recovery of China catering sector remains on track. We recommend long Xiabuxiabu / short Jiumaojiu to play the recovery while hedging against...

Eric Chen

HK Buybacks Q1 2023: 8 Names Are 90% of the Total - AIA, Tencent, StanChart, Greatwall the Big 4

86 names listed in HK bought back shares in Q1. 90% of total buybacks were done by 8 names. half the names bought back less than US$1mm. AIA,...

Travis Lundy

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

DPC Dash IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Even as Capital Group Tops Up

DPC Dash (1405 HK) raised around US$75m, after pricing its IPO at the bottom-end. In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

Pullback in global equities continues with MSCI $ACWI testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance as $STOXX Europe 50 tests 3800-3840 resistance....

Vermilion Research

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