Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK)</a> had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.
</li>
</ul>


During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.

Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.


MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)</li>
<li>MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)</li>
<li>981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)
MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)
981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong markets continue to outperform globally this year with short selling declining and mainland buying increasing.  These trends should accelerate going into next year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>resumed trading after announcing that the company is entertaining one or more potential acquisition plans for the company.  The company also announced strong 1H25 earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) </a>announce a buyback plan for 10% of A and H shares outstanding.  The company also announced the acquisition of the China Fanuc robotics business.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong markets continue to outperform globally this year with short selling declining and mainland buying increasing.  These trends should accelerate going into next year.

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)resumed trading after announcing that the company is entertaining one or more potential acquisition plans for the company.  The company also announced strong 1H25 earnings.


Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) announce a buyback plan for 10% of A and H shares outstanding.  The company also announced the acquisition of the China Fanuc robotics business.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a> entered a trading halt under the Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg suggests <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)</a>’s stake is attracting preliminary interest from PE.</li>
<li>Alibaba built its 78.70% stake through two purchases in 2017 (HK$6.50) and 2021 (HK$8.10). An exit would align with the strategy to focus on the core business segments. </li>
<li>The recent Miniso-Yonghui transaction could have prompted PE to act. An offer at book value would imply HK$2.50, a 40% premium to the last close price. </li>
</ul>



Sun Art Retail (6808 HK) entered a trading halt under the Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg suggests Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)’s stake is attracting preliminary interest from PE.
Alibaba built its 78.70% stake through two purchases in 2017 (HK$6.50) and 2021 (HK$8.10). An exit would align with the strategy to focus on the core business segments. 
The recent Miniso-Yonghui transaction could have prompted PE to act. An offer at book value would imply HK$2.50, a 40% premium to the last close price. 


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): Alibaba’s Stake Draws PE Interest

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.</li>
<li>Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.</li>
<li>Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.</li>
</ul>


Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.
Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.
Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.


China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

China

Yonghui Superstores Company Limited operates supermarket franchises . The Company mainly operates hypermarkets, marketplace and supermarkets.

Price Gauge
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Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

HK out-perform global peers with short selling abating and mainland buying increasing. Sun Art resumed trading as it entertains potential buyout...

David Mudd

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): Alibaba’s Stake Draws PE Interest

On 27 September, the Board received a pre-conditional voluntary conditional offer from an undisclosed offeror. No terms are disclosed. Alibaba is...

Arun George

China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

Temu becomes the second largest global e-commerce website. Meituan merges departments to cut expenses. Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

​Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

HK out-perform global peers with short selling abating and mainland buying increasing. Sun Art resumed trading as it entertains potential buyout...

David Mudd

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): Alibaba’s Stake Draws PE Interest

On 27 September, the Board received a pre-conditional voluntary conditional offer from an undisclosed offeror. No terms are disclosed. Alibaba is...

Arun George

China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

Temu becomes the second largest global e-commerce website. Meituan merges departments to cut expenses. Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with...

Ming Lu

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...