Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Low Volatility and High Dividend yield stocks in Hong Kong outperformed the region during recent global market sell off.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mgm-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:472:1" rel="noopener">MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)</a> is outperforming its peers with revenue now exceeding pre-COVID levels.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> maintains a high cash flow and dividend yield in China's tech sector.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhuzhou-crrc-times-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18:1" rel="noopener">Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)</a> benefits from China's new large-scale maintenance cycle.
</li>
</ul>


Low Volatility and High Dividend yield stocks in Hong Kong outperformed the region during recent global market sell off.

MGM China Holdings (2282 HK) is outperforming its peers with revenue now exceeding pre-COVID levels.


Weibo (9898 HK) maintains a high cash flow and dividend yield in China's tech sector.  Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK) benefits from China's new large-scale maintenance cycle.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 6)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

<ul>
<li>Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.</li>
<li>Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.</li>
<li>Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.</li>
</ul>


Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.
Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.
Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.


China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

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Weibo Corp (WB US)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (August 6)

Low Vol and High Dividend factors outperformed the region during recent sell off. MGM i EBITDA exceeds pre-COVID levels. Weibo will benefit from...

David Mudd

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

The company denied that many employees have resigned recently. Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%....

Ming Lu

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