IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a>, a Vietnamese EV (electric vehicle) manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, completed its merger with Black Spade. </li>
<li>The shares closed 3.7x up on the first day with a market cap of US$86bn. The pop is partly due to low float resulting from the controlling shareholder's 99.0% stake. </li>
<li>VinFast faces headwinds of poor reviews, declining customer traction, ongoing losses and cash burn. VinFast is trading at a material premium to peers on growth-adjusted multiples.  </li>
</ul>



VinFast (1905332D VN), a Vietnamese EV (electric vehicle) manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), completed its merger with Black Spade. 
The shares closed 3.7x up on the first day with a market cap of US$86bn. The pop is partly due to low float resulting from the controlling shareholder's 99.0% stake. 
VinFast faces headwinds of poor reviews, declining customer traction, ongoing losses and cash burn. VinFast is trading at a material premium to peers on growth-adjusted multiples.  


External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

<ul><li>VinFast is a fast-growing electric vehicle manufacturer based in Vietnam, founded in 2017 by Vingroup and billionaire Pham Nhat Vuong</li><li>The company has plans for global expansion and aims to have vehicles in 50 markets by the end of 2024</li><li>VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise concerns about its independence</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

VinFast is a fast-growing electric vehicle manufacturer based in Vietnam, founded in 2017 by Vingroup and billionaire Pham Nhat VuongThe company has plans for global expansion and aims to have vehicles in 50 markets by the end of 2024VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise concerns about its independenceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Vinfast Auto Ltd (VFS) - Tuesday, Dec 5, 2023

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After de-SPACing last August, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a>, the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, went orbital, as discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/MYHnq" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense</a>
</li>
<li>VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.</li>
<li>Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.</li>
</ul>


After de-SPACing last August, shares in VinFast (VFS US), the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), went orbital, as discussed in Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.
Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.


VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Vinfast’s shares have fallen more than 80% since its IPO in August. Shares are currently trading at $4.93 per share compared to IPO open price of $22 per share.</li>
<li>On 20th October, Vinfast announced that the company has entered into a standby equity subscription agreement of up to $1.0bn with Yorkville Advisors which has a term of 36 months.</li>
<li>A majority of Vinfast’s EV sales in 9M2023 were to related parties or affiliates of its parent, raising serious concerns over the company’s ability to establish a market presence.  </li>
</ul>


Vinfast’s shares have fallen more than 80% since its IPO in August. Shares are currently trading at $4.93 per share compared to IPO open price of $22 per share.
On 20th October, Vinfast announced that the company has entered into a standby equity subscription agreement of up to $1.0bn with Yorkville Advisors which has a term of 36 months.
A majority of Vinfast’s EV sales in 9M2023 were to related parties or affiliates of its parent, raising serious concerns over the company’s ability to establish a market presence.  


Vinfast: New Funding to Support Growth Plans Despite Struggling to Sell EVs

Vietnam

Vinfast Auto Ltd. operates electric vehicle intelligent platform. The Company offers full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooter, and electric buses. Vinfast Auto serves customers worldwide.

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Vinfast (VFS US)

VinFast: Inexplicable Valuation

VinFast faces headwinds of poor reviews, declining customer traction, ongoing losses and cash burn. VinFast is trading at a material premium to...

Arun George

Vinfast Auto Ltd (VFS) - Tuesday, Dec 5, 2023

VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise...

Value Investors Club

Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Ola Electric has launched its IPO at a much more digestible valuation than what it was aiming for earlier. At the current valuations, it would be...

Sumeet Singh

VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

IF Vingroup were to offload some of its stake in VinFast to increase the float, that could be a catalyst. I'd still be disinclined to invest in...

David Blennerhassett

Vinfast: New Funding to Support Growth Plans Despite Struggling to Sell EVs

Vinfast has secured a $1bn standby equity subscription agreement with YA. Most of the company's EV sales were to related parties raising concerns...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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