Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, a manufacturer of small home appliance, is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1211/2024121100063.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code. </li>
<li>FY23 was Vesync's best result since its December 2020 listing; and FY24E is on track to go one better.  Yet the share price is 24% adrift of the IPO price.</li>
<li>The Yang family, led by chairman/CEO, control ~69.26% of Vesync. An Offer price around the IPO price may be enough to take Vesync private.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK), a manufacturer of small home appliance, is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. 
FY23 was Vesync's best result since its December 2020 listing; and FY24E is on track to go one better.  Yet the share price is 24% adrift of the IPO price.
The Yang family, led by chairman/CEO, control ~69.26% of Vesync. An Offer price around the IPO price may be enough to take Vesync private.


Vesync (2148 HK): Expect The Yangs To Privatise

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” </li>
<li>The Yang family is likely seeking to privatise Vesync through a Cayman scheme. The shares are trading 24% below the HK$5.52 IPO price.</li>
<li>We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$5.09-10.30 per share, with an average of HK$6.71, a 59.8% premium to last close.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
The Yang family is likely seeking to privatise Vesync through a Cayman scheme. The shares are trading 24% below the HK$5.52 IPO price.
We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$5.09-10.30 per share, with an average of HK$6.71, a 59.8% premium to last close.


Vesync (2148 HK): The Yang Family to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1Q24 sales growth was slow but net profit should still be strong.</li><li>Thanks to the healthy sell-out growth and the less-than-one-month Amazon channel inventory, plus the upgrades in products (e.g., Turbo Blaze air fryer, Dual Zone air fryer, the pet-friendly air purifier and vacuum cleaner), orders growth should normalize in the coming quarters, in our view.</li><li>With an undemanding valuation of 7x FY24E P/E, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 6.79, based on 11x P/E, well supported by 13%/16% sales/NP CAGRs during FY23-26E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1Q24 sales growth was slow but net profit should still be strong.Thanks to the healthy sell-out growth and the less-than-one-month Amazon channel inventory, plus the upgrades in products (e.g., Turbo Blaze air fryer, Dual Zone air fryer, the pet-friendly air purifier and vacuum cleaner), orders growth should normalize in the coming quarters, in our view.With an undemanding valuation of 7x FY24E P/E, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 6.79, based on 11x P/E, well supported by 13%/16% sales/NP CAGRs during FY23-26E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vesync (2148 HK) - 1Q24 Was Slow but End-Demand Is Healthy

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a> had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> broke out to a new YTD high.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.

Sands China (1928 HK) had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.


China Feihe (6186 HK) broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  Techtronic Industries (669 HK) broke out to a new YTD high.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


China

Vesync Co Ltd develops smart home platform that connect air quality, health monitoring, kitchen, lighting, and outlet systems.The Company helps users to manage home, save energy, and bring remote items within handheld reach.

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Vesync (2148 HK)

Vesync (2148 HK): Expect The Yangs To Privatise

FY23 was Vesync's best result since its Dec 2020 listing; and FY24E may go one better. Yet the share price is 24% adrift of the IPO price. An...

David Blennerhassett

Vesync (2148 HK): The Yang Family to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$5.09-10.30 per share, with an average of HK$6.71....

Arun George

Vesync (2148 HK) - 1Q24 Was Slow but End-Demand Is Healthy

With an undemanding valuation of 7x FY24E P/E, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 6.79, based on 11x P/E, well supported by 13%/16% sales/NP CAGRs...

CMB International

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

Hong Kong tech sector is key to lead the market higher. Lower volatility & decreased short selling volume provide tailwinds for HSTECH index. Sands...

David Mudd

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vesync (2148 HK): Expect The Yangs To Privatise

FY23 was Vesync's best result since its Dec 2020 listing; and FY24E may go one better. Yet the share price is 24% adrift of the IPO price. An...

David Blennerhassett

Vesync (2148 HK): The Yang Family to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$5.09-10.30 per share, with an average of HK$6.71....

Arun George

Vesync (2148 HK) - 1Q24 Was Slow but End-Demand Is Healthy

With an undemanding valuation of 7x FY24E P/E, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 6.79, based on 11x P/E, well supported by 13%/16% sales/NP CAGRs...

CMB International

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

Hong Kong tech sector is key to lead the market higher. Lower volatility & decreased short selling volume provide tailwinds for HSTECH index. Sands...

David Mudd

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

​Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...