Positioning Watch – Hedge Funds are leaning into the Europe trade despite election risks
Greetings from Copenhagen!Markets are still busy trying to digest the first rounds of the French Election, with Le Pen’s party looking...
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EU: Rise of the Ultra-Nationalist Right (Eg, in France) And Its Consequences
Macron's French assimilation vs anti-Islamist RN (with roots to the Battle of Tours won by Charlemagne's grandpa in 732CE) at existential heart of...
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Great Game – Biden in Free-Fall and a French Ménage À Trois
Biden is starting to drop rapidly in polls after the US presidential debate. Many polls show Trump to have opened a 2-4 point lead nationally,...
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Steno Signals #106 – The cycle is improving. Not weakening.
We spent most of last week examining cycle leads and lags as we continue to observe solid signs of re-acceleration in economies with low duration...
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Global FX: FX Volatility Bumpy, but Capped in H2
The recent washout in EMFX carry trades, low FX volume compared to other indicators, firm global growth and broad PMI strength, the world being...
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