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US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) (GT10 GOVT)

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bearishMacroeconomics
11 Oct 2023 09:22

Recession Playbook: Here is how we think the recession will pan out

We have refrained from taking a decisive stance on the recession timing through the year and have generally had the view that recession risks (for...

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bullishMacroeconomics
09 Oct 2023 20:52

Macro Nugget: How do markets react to turmoil in Gaza/Israel?

We have taken a look at the data over the course of the last five stand-offs between Israel and Hamas/Palestine on the back of the atrocious...

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bullishMacroeconomics
09 Oct 2023 16:14

Steno Signals #68: There is NOT enough buyers for bonds amidst all this

A deal between the US/Israel and Saudi Arabia seems off the table after this weekend. Oil markets are physically tight still, but there are some...

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bearishMacroeconomics
09 Oct 2023 15:29

EM by EM #24 Tightening the noose on EM

This week’s standout story has undeniably been the startling EIA report from the US. Unless we receive a substantial revision or information that...

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bearishMacroeconomics
06 Oct 2023 09:43

Recession Nugget: 4 Charts for the Equity Bears, 1 Chart for the Bulls!

Takeaways: Yield curve looks prone to make equities pukeReal economic data looks weak as well Jobs still strong lending support Let’s start by...

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