Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have seen a general easing in ADR premiums since end-July, coming down as global markets have fallen.</li>
<li>TSMC's premium is easing down from the highs of June.</li>
<li>UMC and ChipMos ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.</li>
</ul>


We have seen a general easing in ADR premiums since end-July, coming down as global markets have fallen.
TSMC's premium is easing down from the highs of June.
UMC and ChipMos ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: ADR Premiums Easing Down With Markets

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.</li><li>Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.</li><li>That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery</li>
<li>Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. </li>
<li>At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse</li>
</ul>


Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery
Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. 
At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse


Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For a change of pace, this insight briefly canvasses a clutch of Holdco's trading at extreme levels. </li>
<li>Preceding the chart-heavy insight are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


For a change of pace, this insight briefly canvasses a clutch of Holdco's trading at extreme levels. 
Preceding the chart-heavy insight are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Japex/Inpex, Amorepacific, Wynn, Shimao, Takara, Silicon Integrated/United Micro

<ul><li>Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.</li><li>Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.</li><li>Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: ADR Premiums Easing Down With Markets

TSMC's premium is easing from the highs of June. UMC and ChipMOS ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.

CMB International

Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

Foundry heading for 15% YoY decline with no prospect of a meaningful H2 recovery. Some key players may be lowering prices. This is unlikely to...

William Keating

StubWorld: Japex/Inpex, Amorepacific, Wynn, Shimao, Takara, Silicon Integrated/United Micro

For a change of pace, this insight briefly canvasses a clutch of Holdco's trading at extreme levels. Inpex is the key Holdco discussed.

David Blennerhassett

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.

CMB International

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