Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> 3Q24 outlook could be showing a slightly upside quarter over quarter and the gross margin is approaching to ~30%.</li>
<li>We estimate that UMC's overall utilization in 3Q24 will be around 65-70%, with 12” at 70-75% and 8” at 60%.</li>
<li>UMC is benefiting from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> in 3Q24.</li>
</ul>



United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) 3Q24 outlook could be showing a slightly upside quarter over quarter and the gross margin is approaching to ~30%.
We estimate that UMC's overall utilization in 3Q24 will be around 65-70%, with 12” at 70-75% and 8” at 60%.
UMC is benefiting from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple (AAPL US) in 3Q24.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.

<ul>
<li>UMC is currently forecasting a flat to low single digit growth QoQ for 3Q24, which is slight lower than consensus.</li>
<li>UMC has received orders from domestic and international clients. However, we believe it couldn't be able to compensate for the loss of Samsung's 28nm orders so far this year.</li>
<li>With accelerated construction in Singapore in 2024, the full-year capital expenditure has slightly risen to $3.3 billion.</li>
</ul>


UMC is currently forecasting a flat to low single digit growth QoQ for 3Q24, which is slight lower than consensus.
UMC has received orders from domestic and international clients. However, we believe it couldn't be able to compensate for the loss of Samsung's 28nm orders so far this year.
With accelerated construction in Singapore in 2024, the full-year capital expenditure has slightly risen to $3.3 billion.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>'s 2Q24F outlook is experiencing a slight upward now, possibly indicating a positive QoQ.  </li>
<li>UMC's notable contributors are showing a mixed outlook, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> could be the most influencer.</li>
<li>Attention should be paid to the 3Q24F outlook for any potential changes and a shift from a bearish view could positively impact the outlook, potentially signaling the end of downturn.  </li>
</ul>



United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)'s 2Q24F outlook is experiencing a slight upward now, possibly indicating a positive QoQ.  
UMC's notable contributors are showing a mixed outlook, and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) could be the most influencer.
Attention should be paid to the 3Q24F outlook for any potential changes and a shift from a bearish view could positively impact the outlook, potentially signaling the end of downturn.  


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

<ul>
<li>The results for 1Q24F should remain unchanged, even though we anticipate a slight upside.  </li>
<li>UMC's outlook for 2Q24F is deteriorating, with a likely decline 5-10% QoQ.</li>
<li>The demand from UMC's clients is not improving in 2Q24F.</li>
</ul>


The results for 1Q24F should remain unchanged, even though we anticipate a slight upside.  
UMC's outlook for 2Q24F is deteriorating, with a likely decline 5-10% QoQ.
The demand from UMC's clients is not improving in 2Q24F.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Current 2Q24F Outlook Is Downside 5-10% QoQ.

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Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.</li>
<li>UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,</li>
<li>While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.</li>
</ul>


UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.
UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,
While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.


United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

ASPEED Technology Inc. is a fabless IC-design house that specializes in server management, PC/AV extensions solution, desktop virtualization and security enhancement. The Company's products range from silicon chips, IPs to software products that enable sophisticated SOC- centric multimedia, praphics and new work applications.

Powertech Technology Inc. tests, packages, and assembles integrated circuits (ICS).  The Company's products and services include memory product test and various kinds of IC package services, such as thin small-outline package (TSOP) services.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

MKS Instruments, Inc. develops, manufactures, and supplies instruments and components used to control and analyze gases in semiconductor manufacturing and similar industrial manufacturing processes. The Company's products are used to manufacture flat panel displays, magnetic and optical storage devices and media, solar cells, fiber optic cables, and diamond thin films.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

JCET Group Co., Ltd. operates in the semiconductor industry.  The Company's products include discrete devices and integrated circuits.  Through its subsidiaries, Jiangsu Changjiang also manufactures signal lamps used in industrial equipment and anti-theft door systems for consumer use.

Onto Innovation Inc. provides process control solutions and inspection systems. The Company offers solutions which primarily used in the fabrication of semiconductors and other solid-state devices, as well as industrial and scientific applications. Onto Innovation serves customers in the United States.

Amkor Technology, Inc. provides semiconductor packaging and test services.  The Company offers deep submicron wafer fabrication, wafer probe testing, integrated circuit packaging assembly and design, final testing, reliability testing, burn-in, and electrical characterization.

Qorvo Inc, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of high performance analog and mixed signal integrated circuits for the communications markets. The Company's products are used for wireless communications applications such as cellular and PCS, cordless telephony, wireless LANs, industrial radios, wireless security and remote meter reading.

Entegris Inc. provides materials management products and services to the microelectronics industry on a worldwide basis.  The Company provides products such as wafer shippers, wafer transport and process carriers, pods, and work-in-process boxes.  Entegris also provides chemical delivery products such as valves, fittings, tubing, pipe, and containers.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.

UMC's 3rd quarter outlook shows a slight upside, with estimated overall utilization at 65-70% and benefits from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple.

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Current 2Q24F Outlook Is Downside 5-10% QoQ.

UMC's 1Q24F results expected to hold steady, while 2Q24F outlook shows declining demand and potential 5-10% decrease. The demand from UMC's...

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.

​UMC's 3rd quarter outlook shows a slight upside, with estimated overall utilization at 65-70% and benefits from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple.

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

​UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

​UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Current 2Q24F Outlook Is Downside 5-10% QoQ.

​UMC's 1Q24F results expected to hold steady, while 2Q24F outlook shows declining demand and potential 5-10% decrease. The demand from UMC's...

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

​UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UMC's 3rd quarter outlook shows a slight upside, with estimated overall utilization at 65-70% and benefits from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple.

UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.

UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...

UMC's 1Q24F results expected to hold steady, while 2Q24F outlook shows declining demand and potential 5-10% decrease. The demand from UMC's...

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...