Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel and Brookefield Asset Management recently announced that they intend to jointly invest US$30 billion into building Intel foundries in Arizona, leveraging on the US CHIPS Act.</li>
<li>Although inflation and declining consumer demand continue to affect all chipmakers, U.S. strategic objectives and policies will set Intel on a new growth trajectory and competitive position in our view.</li>
<li>A Long Intel/ Short Taiwan semiconductor strategy present a compelling opportunity. We prefer Long Intel vs. Short UMC, however, we expect Long Intel vs. Short TSMC to also be profitable.</li>
</ul>


Intel and Brookefield Asset Management recently announced that they intend to jointly invest US$30 billion into building Intel foundries in Arizona, leveraging on the US CHIPS Act.
Although inflation and declining consumer demand continue to affect all chipmakers, U.S. strategic objectives and policies will set Intel on a new growth trajectory and competitive position in our view.
A Long Intel/ Short Taiwan semiconductor strategy present a compelling opportunity. We prefer Long Intel vs. Short UMC, however, we expect Long Intel vs. Short TSMC to also be profitable.


US CHIPS Act: Long Intel Vs. Short TSMC or UMC?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.</li>
<li>Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.</li>
<li>Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.</li>
</ul>


We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.
Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.
Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parade-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6987:1" rel="noopener">Parade Technologies (4966 TT)</a> is a high-speed mixed-signal fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops, and sells next-generation high-speed interface, display and touch solutions for computing, consumer, and handset markets. 
This is a high-quality tech company, with significant revenue growth and earnings momentum, generating returns well above its cost of capital, a net cash balance sheet, and an attractive sustainable 2%+ dividend yield. 
Although current valuation levels are above historical average levels, and fair at best, further revenue growth expectation upgrades coupled with fair gross margin expansion forecasts, and a management team confident of having secured sufficient manufacturing capacity to address exceptionally strong end-product demand, makes the continuation of the earnings upgrade cycle seem probable, which in turn should continue to be a positive share price catalyst. Parade Technologies is also expected to see large passive inflows during November 2021 following the MSCI November 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review.

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) is a high-speed mixed-signal fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops, and sells next-generation high-speed interface, display and touch solutions for computing, consumer, and handset markets. 
This is a high-quality tech company, with significant revenue growth and earnings momentum, generating returns well above its cost of capital, a net cash balance sheet, and an attractive sustainable 2%+ dividend yield. 
Although current valuation levels are above historical average levels, and fair at best, further revenue growth expectation upgrades coupled with fair gross margin expansion forecasts, and a management team confident of having secured sufficient manufacturing capacity to address exceptionally strong end-product demand, makes the continuation of the earnings upgrade cycle seem probable, which in turn should continue to be a positive share price catalyst. Parade Technologies is also expected to see large passive inflows during November 2021 following the MSCI November 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review.

Parade Technologies: Further Revenue Growth Upgrades, and Dividends, Should Support Valuation

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the "traditional" foundry market</li>
<li>The lion's share of this new market will come from IDM, a combination of increased outsourcing (e.g. Intel) and new JV deals (e.g. Germany and Japan)</li>
<li>Foundry 2.0 reflects the reality of how the semi industry is evolving and it's the polar opposite of Intel's IDM 2.0 </li>
</ul>


TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the "traditional" foundry market
The lion's share of this new market will come from IDM, a combination of increased outsourcing (e.g. Intel) and new JV deals (e.g. Germany and Japan)
Foundry 2.0 reflects the reality of how the semi industry is evolving and it's the polar opposite of Intel's IDM 2.0 


TSMC Foundry 2.0: Strategic Shift Or Brand Tinkering?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

US CHIPS Act: Long Intel Vs. Short TSMC or UMC?

Intel plans to invest US$30bn into building foundries in the US. This could set Intel on a new growth trajectory and creates an opportunity for a...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Parade Technologies: Further Revenue Growth Upgrades, and Dividends, Should Support Valuation

In this insight, I take a deep-dive analysis into fabless IC design house, Parade Technologies, its industry value chain, current valuation levels,...

Wium Malan, CFA

TSMC Foundry 2.0: Strategic Shift Or Brand Tinkering?

TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the...

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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