Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<div>DXY – Call for a DXY ST top near 93/92.70 to lock in some gains and work into select USD shorts for a pullback to 91.50 with risk to 91, to add back to USD longs and resume the rise targeting 94.</div><div></div><div>Timing risk: Pullback sequence should take the form of an elevated choppy pullback.</div><div></div><div>Next phase of the USD rise needs the 10yr to bottom near 1.37% support and start a fresh up cycle in yields.</div>

DXY – Call for a DXY ST top near 93/92.70 to lock in some gains and work into select USD shorts for a pullback to 91.50 with risk to 91, to add back to USD longs and resume the rise targeting 94.Timing risk: Pullback sequence should take the form of an elevated choppy pullback.Next phase of the USD rise needs the 10yr to bottom near 1.37% support and start a fresh up cycle in yields.

Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

<p>EM currencies on aggregate have been tracking the US dollar closely but there has been a fair amount of differentiation within EM. With many central banks in EM embarking on monetary tightening cycles, we investigate whether that has been a factor explaining the different currency performances. We also identify the currencies that are cheap and expensive based on this analysis.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.</p>

EM currencies on aggregate have been tracking the US dollar closely but there has been a fair amount of differentiation within EM. With many central banks in EM embarking on monetary tightening cycles, we investigate whether that has been a factor explaining the different currency performances. We also identify the currencies that are cheap and expensive based on this analysis.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Is Monetary Policy Driving FX Returns?

<p>We examine the EM FX space for opportunities in the aftermath of the hawkish FOMC meeting last week which led to a sharp rise in the US dollar. Two currencies that have underperformed and stand out as buying opportunities are the Chilean peso (CLP) and the Romanian leu (RON).</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.</p>

We examine the EM FX space for opportunities in the aftermath of the hawkish FOMC meeting last week which led to a sharp rise in the US dollar. Two currencies that have underperformed and stand out as buying opportunities are the Chilean peso (CLP) and the Romanian leu (RON).Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Did the Dollar Spike Create Opportunities in EM FX?

<p>The US dollar has strengthened on the back of the hawkish Fed, hurting Asian currencies across the board but the Singapore dollar (SGD) more so than the Indonesian rupiah (IDR), allowing us to take profit on our Long IDR vs Short SGD trade recommendation.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.</p>

The US dollar has strengthened on the back of the hawkish Fed, hurting Asian currencies across the board but the Singapore dollar (SGD) more so than the Indonesian rupiah (IDR), allowing us to take profit on our Long IDR vs Short SGD trade recommendation.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Take Profit on Long Indonesian Rupiah Vs Short Singapore Dollar Recommendation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<p>We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive (high yield spreads and relative strength for defensives sending risk-on signals, etc.). We explain our outlook below.</p>

We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive (high yield spreads and relative strength for defensives sending risk-on signals, etc.). We explain our outlook below.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Still Bullish, Holding Above Support

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and  major world currencies.  The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

USD Long Trim with Fresh Buy Levels

DXY – Call for a DXY ST top near 93/92.70 to lock in some gains and work into select USD shorts for a pullback to 91.50 with risk to 91, to add...

Thomas Schroeder

FX Dashboard: Is Monetary Policy Driving FX Returns?

With many EM central banks embarking on monetary tightening cycles, we investigate whether that has been a factor explaining the currency...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Did the Dollar Spike Create Opportunities in EM FX?

We examine the EM FX space for opportunities in the aftermath of the hawkish FOMC meeting last week which led to a sharp rise in the US dollar.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Take Profit on Long Indonesian Rupiah Vs Short Singapore Dollar Recommendation

The US dollar has strengthened on the back of the hawkish Fed, hurting SGD more than IDR, allowing us to take profit on our Long IDR vs Short SGD...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Still Bullish, Holding Above Support

We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive. We explain...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)