Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. </li>
<li>Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. </li>
<li>Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. </li>
</ul>


The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. 
Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. 
Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. 


EQD | US Election -  Hedge Considerations

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Sentiment, positioning and valuation provide a similar setup to January 2024</li>
<li>External macro events leading to a better fundamental environment for China</li>
<li>Foreign Investors' disappointment in minimal fiscal stimulus provides an asymmetric opportunity</li>
</ul>


Sentiment, positioning and valuation provide a similar setup to January 2024
External macro events leading to a better fundamental environment for China
Foreign Investors' disappointment in minimal fiscal stimulus provides an asymmetric opportunity


Just when I Thought I Was Out, They Pull Me Back In – Time for Another Tradeable Rally in the HSI?

<ul>
<li>A lack of institutional investor interest in Hong Kong is a positive for once as the market is less influenced by international flows</li>
<li>Investors are disappointed by the lack of short-term stimulus plans after the Third Plenum session</li>
<li>What to do after the 17,500 level breached on the Hang Seng index?</li>
</ul>


A lack of institutional investor interest in Hong Kong is a positive for once as the market is less influenced by international flows
Investors are disappointed by the lack of short-term stimulus plans after the Third Plenum session
What to do after the 17,500 level breached on the Hang Seng index?


Nowhere to Run to Baby, Nowhere to Hide! Part 3

<ul>
<li>In the short-term, meaningful policy reforms needed out of the Third Plenum</li>
<li>Chinese data continues to be lacklustre as expected while markets tread water</li>
<li>What can we expect from the Third Plenum to galvanise the next stage</li>
</ul>


In the short-term, meaningful policy reforms needed out of the Third Plenum
Chinese data continues to be lacklustre as expected while markets tread water
What can we expect from the Third Plenum to galvanise the next stage


The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

<ul>
<li>There is a chance for a correction in the HK markets as latecomers to the party get nervous</li>
<li>All the signs are pointing to a continuation of this bull market as government support measures continue to roll out.</li>
<li>Don’t get bucked off that bull by a short-term correction!</li>
</ul>


There is a chance for a correction in the HK markets as latecomers to the party get nervous
All the signs are pointing to a continuation of this bull market as government support measures continue to roll out.
Don’t get bucked off that bull by a short-term correction!


China

The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index is a capitalization-weighted index. The index tracks the daily price performance of all A-shares and B-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The index was developed on December 19, 1990 with a base value of 100. 

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

Just when I Thought I Was Out, They Pull Me Back In – Time for Another Tradeable Rally in the HSI?

Bloomberg today -Chinese cities removing restrictions on non-Hukou purchases. "China Weighs Removing Major Homebuying Curbs to Boost...

Rikki Malik

Nowhere to Run to Baby, Nowhere to Hide! Part 3

Although the Hong Kong market benefits from lack of international interest, investors seek direction after Third Plenum disappointment and a...

Rikki Malik

The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

Rikki Malik

Don’t Let the Bull Throw You Off!

HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...

Rikki Malik

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

​The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

Just when I Thought I Was Out, They Pull Me Back In – Time for Another Tradeable Rally in the HSI?

Bloomberg today -Chinese cities removing restrictions on non-Hukou purchases. "China Weighs Removing Major Homebuying Curbs to Boost...

Rikki Malik

Nowhere to Run to Baby, Nowhere to Hide! Part 3

​Although the Hong Kong market benefits from lack of international interest, investors seek direction after Third Plenum disappointment and a...

Rikki Malik

The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

​Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

Rikki Malik

Don’t Let the Bull Throw You Off!

​HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...

Rikki Malik

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

Although the Hong Kong market benefits from lack of international interest, investors seek direction after Third Plenum disappointment and a...

Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...