Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Recently Avrobio (AVRO) announced a reverse merger with Tectonic Therapeutic, which was a bit unexpected.</li><li>And disappointing. From what I have read from people more knowledgeable about biotechs, they have some promising treatments in development with pretty impressive insiders.</li><li>But I have no idea how to value this. Net cash will be &lt;$1/share post merger so I am closing this with a small loss at $1.25.</li></ul>

Recently Avrobio (AVRO) announced a reverse merger with Tectonic Therapeutic, which was a bit unexpected.And disappointing. From what I have read from people more knowledgeable about biotechs, they have some promising treatments in development with pretty impressive insiders.But I have no idea how to value this. Net cash will be &lt;$1/share post merger so I am closing this with a small loss at $1.25.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Meta officially unveiled the Quest 3, Ray-Ban smart glasses and AI Chatbot during Meta Connect event.</li><li>The new Quest 3 marks a pivot from VR to MR for Meta, ahead of Apple’s Vision Pro pushing into market in 2024.</li><li>Quest 3 features major upgrades in display and optics (Mini-LED, pancake), a faster Qualcomm XR2 Gen 2 chips, improved resolution and interactive sensors enabling mixed reality pass-through, which is in-line with preview earlier this year.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meta officially unveiled the Quest 3, Ray-Ban smart glasses and AI Chatbot during Meta Connect event.The new Quest 3 marks a pivot from VR to MR for Meta, ahead of Apple’s Vision Pro pushing into market in 2024.Quest 3 features major upgrades in display and optics (Mini-LED, pancake), a faster Qualcomm XR2 Gen 2 chips, improved resolution and interactive sensors enabling mixed reality pass-through, which is in-line with preview earlier this year.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Takeaways of Meta Connect 3: Quest 3, Ray-Ban smart glasses and Meta AI Chatbot

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

<ul><li>Intron, which is a provider of electronic solutions, mainly for vehicles, announced its 2022 annual result with a net profit growth of 107% on 52% growth in revenue and GPM expansion of 1.9 ppts to 21.5%.</li><li>The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for many advanced features.</li><li>Although there is intense price competition in the auto market in China currently, this could offer more opportunities to the company as OEMs seek for more price competitive solutions from third-party suppliers. Intron is currently trading at 12x 2023 consensus P/E.</li></ul>

Intron, which is a provider of electronic solutions, mainly for vehicles, announced its 2022 annual result with a net profit growth of 107% on 52% growth in revenue and GPM expansion of 1.9 ppts to 21.5%.The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for many advanced features.Although there is intense price competition in the auto market in China currently, this could offer more opportunities to the company as OEMs seek for more price competitive solutions from third-party suppliers. Intron is currently trading at 12x 2023 consensus P/E.

Intron (1760 HK, NR) - OEM Price War Could Be an Opportunity

<ul><li>Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.</li><li>Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.</li><li>Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>These insights may flag those companies where shares have been pledged. Stocks mentioned include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hopefluent-group-hldgs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19599:1" rel="noopener">Hopefluent Group (733 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/matrix-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8308:1" rel="noopener">Matrix Holdings (1005 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
These insights may flag those companies where shares have been pledged. Stocks mentioned include Hopefluent Group (733 HK), Matrix Holdings (1005 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK).


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

Hong Kong

TK Group (Holdings) Limited manufactures plastic products and components. The Company engages in the design and fabrication of plastic injection molds and the mechanical design and manufacturing of plastic components.

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TK Group (Holdings) (2283 HK)

Some updates

From what I have read from people more knowledgeable about biotechs, they have some promising treatments in development with pretty impressive...

Turtles all the way down

China Technology – Takeaways of Meta Connect 3: Quest 3, Ray-Ban smart glasses and Meta AI Chatbot

The new Quest 3 marks a pivot from VR to MR for Meta, ahead of Apple’s Vision Pro pushing into market in 2024. Quest 3 features major upgrades in...

CMB International

Intron (1760 HK, NR) - OEM Price War Could Be an Opportunity

The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for...

Quam Securities

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus

CMB International

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

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