Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



CALB (3931 HK) priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$994.7 million, led by consumer staples, health care, materials sectors, and offset by financials, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green, CMB, TCL Zhonghuan, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 30th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$994.7 million, led by consumer staples, health care, materials sectors, and offset by financials, industrials.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green, CMB, TCL Zhonghuan, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.76bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.31bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and Wuliangye (000858 SZ). The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:714:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.76bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.31bn).
The largest inflows were into Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Wuliangye (000858 SZ). The largest outflows were in China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH) and Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

China

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of dyes including high intensity and rapid-dying Lonsperse Dye. The Company sells its products domestically and exports worldwide.

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., (600352 CH)

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spandex products.

Hengyi Petrochemical Co., Ltd. manufactures polyester and other petrochemical products.

Zhejiang Weixing New Building Materials Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells plastic pipes.  The Company's products include poly propylene random (PPR) pipe, polyethylene (PE) pipe, high density polyethylene (HDPE) pipe, and polybutene (PB) pipe.

Zhejiang Weixing New Bldg Mtls (002372 CH)

TongKun Group Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells polyester and Terylene filament.  The Company also invests in real estate, finance, business trade and education businesses.

Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of fertilizers and other chemical products.  The Company's products include urea,  synthetic ammonia, and ammonium acid carbonate.

Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co.,Ltd develops, produces and sells phosphate flame retardant and polyurethane catalyst.  The Company's products include flame retardant, tin catalyst, blowing agent, polyurethane catalyst, and auxiliary agent.

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets fertilizers and other chemical products.  The Company's products include synthetic ammonia, urea, nitramine, pentaerythritol, sodium formate, and polyformaldehyde.  Yunnan Yuntianhua also manufactures glass fibers and lubricants.

Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Company Limited engages in power generation, power supply, heating power production and supply, trading and chemical products.  The Company's main products include electricity, calcium carbide, ferrosilicon, PVC, and caustic soda.

Inner Mngl Jnzhng Eng & Cmci Gp (601216 CH)

LB Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells chemical products. The Company manufactures and sells titanium, zirconium fine powder materials, and other products. LB Group also exports chemical products.

MITSUBISHI GAS CHEMICAL COMPANY, INC. produces chemical products such as xylene and methanol.  The Company also manufactures engineering plastics and specialty chemicals.

NOF CORPORATION is a diversified chemical producer whose products include processed oil/fats, explosives and other chemical products. The Company has manufacturing/sales subsidiaries in US, Indonesia and China.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Incitec Pivot Limited is a fertilizer manufacturer and supplier, and also a supplier for explosives products and services. The Company has operations throughout the United States, Canada, Mexico and Australia.

Resonac Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products. The Company produces synthetic resins, petrochemical products, inorganics, and other related products. Resonac Holdings also produces ceramics, metals, carbon, electronic materials, and other products.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

Quaker Chemical Corporation produces, develops, and markets custom-formulated chemical specialty products.  The Company also provides fluid management services for manufacturers around the world, primarily in the steel, automotive, and can industries.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures differentiated and commodity chemical products.  The Company markets a broad range of chemical products and formulations to a diversified group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman's products are used in a range of applications, including those in adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, and consumer products.

SKC Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of films, including polyester films, silicon coated films, and inkjet films.  The Company also produces chemical products, such as propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and styrene monomer. In addition, SKC provides materials for photovoltaic.

Nissan Chemical Industries, Ltd. produces a variety of chemical products, ranging from basic chemicals to functional chemical products.  The Company also manufactures agrochemicals and pharmaceutical products.

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

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Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB IPO: Trading Debut

Grey market prices are down -2% to flat to the IPO price. Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price implies a discount to the median peer EV...

Arun George

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB IPO: Trading Debut

Grey market prices are down -2% to flat to the IPO price. Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price implies a discount to the median peer EV...

Arun George

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)