External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Leapmotor’s aggressive pre-sale price for its new B10 EV, along with its in-house autonomous driving (AD) and chassis capabilities, gives us more confidence about its sales.</li><li>We revise up its FY25E sales volume by 7% to 0.48mn units.</li><li>We also project a minimal net loss in FY25E and a net profit of RMB1.26bn in FY26E with more new A and D series models. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Leapmotor’s aggressive pre-sale price for its new B10 EV, along with its in-house autonomous driving (AD) and chassis capabilities, gives us more confidence about its sales.We revise up its FY25E sales volume by 7% to 0.48mn units.We also project a minimal net loss in FY25E and a net profit of RMB1.26bn in FY26E with more new A and D series models. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - Competitive Pricing for B10 with Strong 4Q24 Margins

<ul><li>Initiate with BUY and TP of HK$40.00. We believe Leapmotor could post faster sales volume growth than most of its peers in the next few years, aided by a plethora of new models and unique overseas expansion model supported by Stellantis (STLA US, NR).</li><li>The company plans to launch three new models (Bseries) based on an upgraded platform in FY25E, and small-size (A-series) and medium-to-large--size (D-series) models from FY26E, following the success of the C-series.</li><li>We estimate Leapmotor to break even at the net profit level in 2H26E amid greater economies of scale, overseas contribution at the JV, and solid R&amp;D capabilities to control costs, which could be earlier than most of its NEV start-up peers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Initiate with BUY and TP of HK$40.00. We believe Leapmotor could post faster sales volume growth than most of its peers in the next few years, aided by a plethora of new models and unique overseas expansion model supported by Stellantis (STLA US, NR).The company plans to launch three new models (Bseries) based on an upgraded platform in FY25E, and small-size (A-series) and medium-to-large--size (D-series) models from FY26E, following the success of the C-series.We estimate Leapmotor to break even at the net profit level in 2H26E amid greater economies of scale, overseas contribution at the JV, and solid R&amp;D capabilities to control costs, which could be earlier than most of its NEV start-up peersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - Clear Brand Positioning with Unique Overseas Model

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Nvidia switches to FOPLP for AI server chips to alleviate CoWoS capacity strain, improving efficiency and performance.</li><li>Taiwanese banks embrace GenAI despite challenges, as revealed by a McKinsey survey highlighting growing adoption in the industry.</li><li>European carmakers forge partnerships across continents to compete in the affordable electric vehicle market, focusing on collaboration and innovation.</li></ul>

Nvidia switches to FOPLP for AI server chips to alleviate CoWoS capacity strain, improving efficiency and performance.Taiwanese banks embrace GenAI despite challenges, as revealed by a McKinsey survey highlighting growing adoption in the industry.European carmakers forge partnerships across continents to compete in the affordable electric vehicle market, focusing on collaboration and innovation.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-May-2024): Nvidia shifts to FOPLP for AI chips due to CoWoS strain.

Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Stellantis, the European automotive group, unveiled plans to distribute EVs made by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology (9863 HK)</a> across Europe, India, Asia Pacific, MEA, and South America via a 51/49 JV.</li>
<li>This could help <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener"> Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> leapfrog regulatory hurdles and hasten access to EV markets globally by leveraging <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv-847415d2-edbe-4b97-b9c9-bece87ed6f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27920:1" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLA IM)</a> 's distribution network and manufacturing facilities.</li>
<li>Leapmotor could likely qualify and stand to benefit from Indian Government's recently announced policy initiatives for budget EVs.</li>
</ul>


Stellantis, the European automotive group, unveiled plans to distribute EVs made by Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology (9863 HK) across Europe, India, Asia Pacific, MEA, and South America via a 51/49 JV.
This could help  Leapmotor (9863 HK) leapfrog regulatory hurdles and hasten access to EV markets globally by leveraging Stellantis NV (STLA IM) 's distribution network and manufacturing facilities.
Leapmotor could likely qualify and stand to benefit from Indian Government's recently announced policy initiatives for budget EVs.


Leapmotor (9863 HK): Global Aspirations in JV with Stellantis - An Opportunity to Leapfrog?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO (NIO US)</a> is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. </li>
<li>NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  </li>
<li>NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. </li>
</ul>



NIO (NIO US) is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. 
NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  
NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. 


2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

China

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies Ltd. operates as an electric vehicles manufacturer. The Company develops and sells electric vehicles and other products. Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies markets its products throughout China.

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Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - Competitive Pricing for B10 with Strong 4Q24 Margins

Maintain BUY. Leapmotor’s aggressive pre-sale price for its new B10 EV, along with its in-house autonomous driving (AD) and chassis capabilities,...

CMB International

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - Clear Brand Positioning with Unique Overseas Model

We believe Leapmotor could post faster sales volume growth than most of its peers in the next few years, aided by a plethora of new models

CMB International

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-May-2024): Nvidia shifts to FOPLP for AI chips due to CoWoS strain.

Nvidia switches to FOPLP for AI server chips, Taiwanese banks adopt GenAI, European carmakers rely on partnerships for EVs, robotics trend towards...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Leapmotor (9863 HK): Global Aspirations in JV with Stellantis - An Opportunity to Leapfrog?

Leapmotor could get to access and compete in emerging EV markets globally within a shorter time frame than peers by leveraging on Stellantis'...

Devi Subhakesan

2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in...

Arun George

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