Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> hold 28.78% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and will be selling Tencent stock to fund their own buyback due to the large discount to NAV.</li>
<li>At 3-5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>'s ADV, the selling will last from 9-15 years, though could take much longer (or not complete) if Prosus/Naspers' discount to NAV shrinks considerably.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will buy only around 12-14% of the incremental stock and this will lead to a big overhang on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> in the near future.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA)/ Naspers (NPN SJ) hold 28.78% of Tencent (700 HK) and will be selling Tencent stock to fund their own buyback due to the large discount to NAV.
At 3-5% of Tencent (700 HK)'s ADV, the selling will last from 9-15 years, though could take much longer (or not complete) if Prosus/Naspers' discount to NAV shrinks considerably.
Passive trackers will buy only around 12-14% of the incremental stock and this will lead to a big overhang on Tencent (700 HK) in the near future.


Tencent (700 HK): Impact of Prosus Selling & Passive Inflows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Carsales aims to raise around US$835m (A$1.2bn) via a non-renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of remaining 51% of trader Interactive.</li>
<li>While the acquisition is probably well flagged and will be earnings accretive, the last entitlement offering didn’t do well in the near term.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Carsales aims to raise around US$835m (A$1.2bn) via a non-renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of remaining 51% of trader Interactive.
While the acquisition is probably well flagged and will be earnings accretive, the last entitlement offering didn’t do well in the near term.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Carsales Entitlement Offer - Well Flagged Deal for a Well Know Asset, but Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>New Medical Product Rule banned online direct sales of medical products.</li>
<li>Koolearn’s stock price plunged after surging, as Tencent reduced its shareholdings.</li>
<li>Alibaba dismissed employees in Freshippo and JD.com downsized its community group purchase.</li>
</ul>


New Medical Product Rule banned online direct sales of medical products.
Koolearn’s stock price plunged after surging, as Tencent reduced its shareholdings.
Alibaba dismissed employees in Freshippo and JD.com downsized its community group purchase.


China Internet Weekly (27Jun22): Koolearn’ Up & Down, New Rule on Medical Apps

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 17th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest increases in JD.com and Great Wall Motor. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 17th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest increases in JD.com and Great Wall Motor. 


HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for JD.com, Great Wall Motor

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>A few IPOs are lined up in Thailand and South Korea, in addition a number of deals are gearing up for launch.</li>
<li>There were no major placements last week. Although there are a few large lockup releases soon.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
A few IPOs are lined up in Thailand and South Korea, in addition a number of deals are gearing up for launch.
There were no major placements last week. Although there are a few large lockup releases soon.


ECM Weekly (26th June 2022) - Tianqi, Thai Life, Thai Bev, ClouDr, ACommerce, SenseTime, SonaComstar

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK): Impact of Prosus Selling & Passive Inflows

Prosus holds 28.78% of Tencent - that is US$133.5bn. Selling stock could take 9-15 years and is heavily dependent on a few factors. Limited passive...

Brian Freitas

Carsales Entitlement Offer - Well Flagged Deal for a Well Know Asset, but Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

Carsales aims to raise around US$835m (A$1.2bn) via a non-renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of remaining 51% of trader...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (27Jun22): Koolearn’ Up & Down, New Rule on Medical Apps

New Medical Product Rule banned online direct sales of medical products. Koolearn’s stock price plunged after surging, as Tencent reduced its...

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for JD.com, Great Wall Motor

We highlight week-on-week short interest increases in JD.com and Great Wall Motor in the Hong Kong market based on the latest SFC short aggregate...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (26th June 2022) - Tianqi, Thai Life, Thai Bev, ClouDr, ACommerce, SenseTime, SonaComstar

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)