Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-asx-dec-24-few-index-changes-but-high-impact" target="_blank" rel="noopener">final expectations</a>.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations.
In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.


Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50 and one change for ASX 200.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
We expect one change for ASX 50 and one change for ASX 200.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Few Index Changes But High Impact

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.</li>
<li>There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group (CAR AU)</a> recently.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.
There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in CAR Group (CAR AU) recently.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

<ul>
<li>With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December. </li>
<li>There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.</li>
</ul>


With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December. 
There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

Australia

CAR Group Limited operates as a digital marketplace for vehicles. The Company provides a diversified portfolio of brands to sell and buy cars. CAR Group serves customers worldwide.

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CAR Group (CAR AU)

Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

ASX 50 ADD CAR Group (CAR AU) and ASX 200 ADD Clarity Pharma (CU6 AU) are high-impact names with more than 5x ADV to buy.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Few Index Changes But High Impact

The ASX Dec 24 official index changes will be announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024 (tomorrow). It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

CAR Group could replace Dexus in the ASX50, and Clarity Pharma could replace Spark NZ in the ASX200. Dexus and Spark NZ are also deletes from a...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

There could be 1 change for the ASX50 and 2 changes for the ASX200 in Dec. Couple of ASX deletes could also be deleted from a global index in...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

We expect there to be a total of 650mn shares to buy from the ASX family during the March 2025 index rebal event. This is roughly US$1.1bn in flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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